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This paper considers simulation-based optimization of the performance of a regime-switching stochastic system over a finite set of feasible configurations. Inspired by the stochastic fictitious play learning rules in game theory, we propose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Omid Namvar Gharehshiran , Vikram Krishnamurthy , George Yin

Stochastic resetting, where a dynamical process is intermittently returned to a fixed reference state, has emerged as a powerful mechanism for optimizing first-passage properties. Existing theory largely treats static, non-learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Jello Zhou , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J. Schwab

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-01 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Zachary P. Kilpatrick , Kresimir Josic

Stochastic optimisation algorithms are the de facto standard for machine learning with large amounts of data. Handling only a subset of available data in each optimisation step dramatically reduces the per-iteration computational costs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Zeljko Kereta , Jingwei Liang , Junqi Tang

Any performance analysis based on stochastic simulation is subject to the errors inherent in misspecifying the modeling assumptions, particularly the input distributions. In situations with little support from data, we investigate the use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Soumyadip Ghosh , Henry Lam

Traditional statistical estimation, or statistical inference in general, is static, in the sense that the estimate of the quantity of interest does not change the future evolution of the quantity. In some sequential estimation problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Aolin Xu

When predicting a target variable $Y$ from features $X$, the prediction $\hat{Y}$ can be performative: an agent might act on this prediction, affecting the value of $Y$ that we eventually observe. Performative predictions are deliberately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Philip Boeken , Onno Zoeter , Joris M. Mooij

We analyze convergence rates of stochastic optimization procedures for non-smooth convex optimization problems. By combining randomized smoothing techniques with accelerated gradient methods, we obtain convergence rates of stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-10 John C. Duchi , Peter L. Bartlett , Martin J. Wainwright

This paper considers online optimization for a system that performs a sequence of back-to-back tasks. Each task can be processed in one of multiple processing modes that affect the duration of the task, the reward earned, and an additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Michael J. Neely

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

In self-driving, predicting future in terms of location and motion of all the agents around the vehicle is a crucial requirement for planning. Recently, a new joint formulation of perception and prediction has emerged by fusing rich sensory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Adil Kaan Akan , Fatma Güney

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Modern signal processing (SP) methods rely very heavily on probability and statistics to solve challenging SP problems. SP methods are now expected to deal with ever more complex models, requiring ever more sophisticated computational…

This paper addresses the question of whether it can be beneficial for an optimization algorithm to follow directions of negative curvature. Although prior work has established convergence results for algorithms that integrate both descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson

Stochastic optimization algorithms have been successfully applied in several domains to find optimal solutions. Because of the ever-growing complexity of the integrated systems, novel stochastic algorithms are being proposed, which makes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Sowmya Chandrasekaran , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

Guidance is a cornerstone of modern diffusion models, playing a pivotal role in conditional generation and enhancing the quality of unconditional samples. However, current approaches to guidance scheduling--determining the appropriate…

Although high-performance computing (HPC) systems have been scaled to meet the exponentially-growing demand for scientific computing, HPC performance variability remains a major challenge and has become a critical research topic in computer…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-23 Li Xu , Yili Hong , Max D. Morris , Kirk W. Cameron

Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf

Modern statistical inference tasks often require iterative optimization methods to compute the solution. Convergence analysis from an optimization viewpoint only informs us how well the solution is approximated numerically but overlooks the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Tengyuan Liang , Weijie Su

We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao
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