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Panel Vector Autoregressions (PVARs) are a popular tool for analyzing multi-country datasets. However, the number of estimated parameters can be enormous, leading to computational and statistical issues. In this paper, we develop fast…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-10 Martin Feldkircher , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Michael Pfarrhofer

We design a debiased parametric bootstrap framework for statistical inference from differentially private data. Existing usage of the parametric bootstrap on privatized data ignored or avoided handling possible biases introduced by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Zhanyu Wang , Arin Chang , Jordan Awan

We present an estimator of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of random $d$-dimensional vector from an i.i.d. sample of size $n$. Our sole assumption is that this vector satisfies a bounded $L^p-L^2$ moment assumption over its one-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Roberto I. Oliveira , Zoraida F. Rico

In this work, we propose variations of a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) based channel estimator that was recently proven to be asymptotically optimal in the minimum mean square error (MMSE) sense. We account for the need of low computational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Benedikt Fesl , Michael Joham , Sha Hu , Michael Koller , Nurettin Turan , Wolfgang Utschick

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

This paper proposes using a sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian to provide a closed-form approximator for the output of probabilistic ensemble models used for dense image prediction tasks. This is achieved through a convolutional neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Sara Vicente , Neill D. F. Campbell

We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Nicholas W. Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

The presence of outliers in financial asset returns is a frequently occuring phenomenon and may lead to unreliable mean-variance optimized portfolios. This fact is due to the unbounded influence that outliers can have on the mean returns…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-28 Aida Toma , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

Datasets are often reused to perform multiple statistical analyses in an adaptive way, in which each analysis may depend on the outcomes of previous analyses on the same dataset. Standard statistical guarantees do not account for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-19 Vitaly Feldman , Thomas Steinke

Common datasets have the form of elements with keys (e.g., transactions and products) and the goal is to perform analytics on the aggregated form of key and frequency pairs. A weighted sample of keys by (a function of) frequency is a highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Edith Cohen , Ofir Geri , Tamas Sarlos , Uri Stemmer

We consider the problem of collaborative personalized mean estimation under a privacy constraint in an environment of several agents continuously receiving data according to arbitrary unknown agent-specific distributions. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yauhen Yakimenka , Chung-Wei Weng , Hsuan-Yin Lin , Eirik Rosnes , Jörg Kliewer

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

Most of the modern literature on robust mean estimation focuses on designing estimators which obtain optimal sub-Gaussian concentration bounds under minimal moment assumptions and sometimes also assuming contamination. This work looks at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Lucas Resende

Mutual information (MI) is a fundamental measure of statistical dependence between two variables, yet accurate estimation from finite data remains notoriously difficult. No estimator is universally reliable, and common approaches fail in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-10-02 Eslam Abdelaleem , K. Michael Martini , Ilya Nemenman

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

We provide a comparative study of several widely used off-policy estimators (Empirical Average, Basic Importance Sampling and Normalized Importance Sampling), detailing the different regimes where they are individually suboptimal. We then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-30 Thomas Nedelec , Nicolas Le Roux , Vianney Perchet

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert

In the estimation of the mean matrix in a multivariate normal distribution, the generalized Bayes estimators with closed forms are provided, and the sufficient conditions for their minimaxity are derived relative to both matrix and scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Ryota Yuasa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc
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