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Poverty status identification is the first obstacle to eradicating poverty. Village-level poverty identification is very challenging due to the arduous field investigation and insufficient information. The development of the Web…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Jing Ma , Liangwei Yang , Qiong Feng , Weizhi Zhang , Philip S. Yu

We present a general approach to establish the Central Limit Theorem with error bounds for sequential dynamical systems. The main tool we develop is the application to this setting of a projective metric on complex cones, following the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Mark F. Demers , Carlangelo Liverani

This systematic review with narrative synthesis examines the social impacts of International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs. We systematically searched five academic databases and grey literature following PRISMA guidelines and included 53…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-13 Ricardo Alonzo Fernández Salguero

Given many popular functional forms for the Lorenz curve do not have a closed-form expression for the Gini index and no study has utilized the observed Gini index to estimate parameter(s) associated with the corresponding parametric…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-03 Thitithep Sitthiyot , Kanyarat Holasut

Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict -- a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Xiang Li , Yunai Li , Huiying Zhong , Lihua Lei , Zhun Deng

We examine the optimality properties of the Gini index estimator under complex survey design involving stratification, clustering, and sub-stratification. While Darku et al. (Econometrics, 26, 2020) considered only stratification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Shivam , Bhargab Chattopadhyay , Nil Kamal Hazra

We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean , Fedor Kusmartsev

In this paper we consider the problem of inference on a class of sets describing a collection of admissible models as solutions to a single smooth inequality. Classical and recent examples include, among others, the Hansen-Jagannathan (HJ)…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-20 Victor Chernozhukov , Emre Kocatulum , Konrad Menzel

In this paper we study the dynamics and ergodic theory of certain economic models which are implicitly defined. We consider 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional overlapping generations models, a cash-in-advance model, heterogeneous markets and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Eugen Mihailescu

Urban-rural gap and regional inequality are long standing problems in China and result in considerable number of studies. This paper examines the dynamic behaviors of incomes for both urban and rural areas with a prefectural data set. The…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-18 Jian-Xin Wu , Ling-Yun He

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Objective: to define an index that summarizes the main dimensions of the socioeconomic context for research purposes, evaluation and monitoring health inequalities. Methods: the index was created from the 2010 Brazilian Demographic Census,…

The sustainability of cooperation is crucial for understanding the progress of societies. We study a repeated game in which individuals decide the share of their income to transfer to other group members. A central feature of our model is…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-31 Pau Juan-Bartroli , Esteban Muñoz-Sobrado

Quantifying model mismatch in a control-relevant manner is fundamental in robust control. A well-known metric for this purpose is the $\nu$-gap, or Vinnicombe metric, which measures the discrepancy between a nominal model and the real…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Margarita A. Guerrero , Henrik Sandberg , Cristian R. Rojas

We present a model in which we investigate the structure and evolution of a random network that connects agents capable of exchanging wealth. Economic interactions between neighbors can occur only if the difference between their wealth is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 A. Agreda , K. Tucci

The Gini coefficient is an universally used measurement of income inequality. Intersectoral GDP contributions reveal the economic development of different sectors of the national economy. Linking intersectoral GDP contributions to Gini…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Jingcheng Meng , Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Guanyu Hu

We propose a new family of inequality indices that bridges the Hoover index and the Gini coefficient. The measure is defined as the normalized expected absolute value of a convex combination of deviations from the mean and pairwise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Felipe Quintino

A subjective expected utility policy making centre, managing complex, dynamic systems, needs to draw on the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and integrate this information coherently. To achieve this, diverse supporting…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-21 Jim Q. Smith , Martine J. Barons , Manuele Leonelli

Solomon and Golo [1] have recently proposed an autocatalytic (self-reinforcing) feedback model which couples a macroscopic system parameter (the interest rate), a microscopic parameter that measures the distribution of the states of the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Natasa Golo , David S. Bree , Guy Kelman , Leanne Usher , Marco Lamieri , Sorin Solomon

The rapid proliferation of high-quality synthetic data -- generated by advanced AI models or collected as auxiliary data from related tasks -- presents both opportunities and challenges for statistical inference. This paper introduces a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Meshi Bashari , Yonghoon Lee , Roy Maor Lotan , Edgar Dobriban , Yaniv Romano