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Related papers: Asymptotics of Ridge (less) Regression under Gener…

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Random Feature (RF) models are used as efficient parametric approximations of kernel methods. We investigate, by means of random matrix theory, the connection between Gaussian RF models and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR). For a Gaussian RF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-24 Arthur Jacot , Berfin Şimşek , Francesco Spadaro , Clément Hongler , Franck Gabriel

Asymptotic optimality is a key theoretical property in model averaging. Due to technical difficulties, existing studies rely on restricted weight sets or the assumption that there is no true model with fixed dimensions in the candidate set.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Wenchao Xu , Xinyu Zhang

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Yun Yang , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Given a fixed budget for total model size, one must choose between training a single large model or combining the predictions of multiple smaller models. We investigate this trade-off for ensembles of random-feature ridge regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Benjamin S. Ruben , William L. Tong , Hamza Tahir Chaudhry , Cengiz Pehlevan

Bagging is a commonly used ensemble technique in statistics and machine learning to improve the performance of prediction procedures. In this paper, we study the prediction risk of variants of bagged predictors under the proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Model collapse occurs when generative models degrade after repeatedly training on their own synthetic outputs. We study this effect in overparameterized linear regression in a setting where each iteration mixes fresh real labels with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Anvit Garg , Sohom Bhattacharya , Pragya Sur

We study asymptotic minimax problems for estimating a $d$-dimensional regression parameter over spheres of growing dimension ($d\to \infty$). Assuming that the data follows a linear model with Gaussian predictors and errors, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Lee H. Dicker

In the context of neural network models, overparametrization refers to the phenomena whereby these models appear to generalize well on the unseen data, even though the number of parameters significantly exceeds the sample sizes, and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Matt Emschwiller , David Gamarnik , Eren C. Kızıldağ , Ilias Zadik

We study the behavior of optimal ridge regularization and optimal ridge risk for out-of-distribution prediction, where the test distribution deviates arbitrarily from the train distribution. We establish general conditions that determine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In this work we investigate the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression (RFRR). Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR. Specifically, under a certain concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Leonardo Defilippis , Bruno Loureiro , Theodor Misiakiewicz

Modern machine learning models are often over-parameterized and as a result they can interpolate the training data. Under such a scenario, we study the convergence properties of a sampling-without-replacement variant of stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Chen Fan , Christos Thrampoulidis , Mark Schmidt

In sparse linear regression, the SLOPE estimator generalizes LASSO by penalizing different coordinates of the estimate according to their magnitudes. In this paper, we present a precise performance characterization of SLOPE in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Hong Hu , Yue M. Lu

We examine the necessity of interpolation in overparameterized models, that is, when achieving optimal predictive risk in machine learning problems requires (nearly) interpolating the training data. In particular, we consider simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Chen Cheng , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

A regression model with more parameters than data points in the training data is overparametrized and has the capability to interpolate the training data. Based on the classical bias-variance tradeoff expressions, it is commonly assumed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Tomas McKelvey

We derive new bounds for the condition number of kernel matrices, which we then use to enhance existing non-asymptotic test error bounds for kernel ridgeless regression (KRR) in the over-parameterized regime for a fixed input dimension. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

Regularization aims to improve prediction performance of a given statistical modeling approach by moving to a second approach which achieves worse training error but is expected to have fewer degrees of freedom, i.e., better agreement…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Shachar Kaufman , Saharon Rosset

Modern regression problems often involve high-dimensional data and a careful tuning of the regularization hyperparameters is crucial to avoid overly complex models that may overfit the training data while guaranteeing desirable properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Maria-Florina Balcan , Saumya Goyal , Dravyansh Sharma

We prove a non-asymptotic distribution-independent lower bound for the expected mean squared generalization error caused by label noise in ridgeless linear regression. Our lower bound generalizes a similar known result to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 David Holzmüller

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec