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We discuss the finite sample theoretical properties of online predictions in non-stationary time series under model misspecification. To analyze the theoretical predictive properties of statistical methods under this setting, we first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Kōsaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn

Association models for a pair of random elements $X$ and $Y$ (e.g., vectors) are considered which specify the odds ratio function up to an unknown parameter $\bolds\theta$. These models are shown to be semiparametric in the sense that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Gerhard Osius

The problem of statistical inference for regression coefficients in a high-dimensional single-index model is considered. Under elliptical symmetry, the single index model can be reformulated as a proxy linear model whose regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Hamid Eftekhari , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

The linear regression model is widely used in empirical work in Economics, Statistics, and many other disciplines. Researchers often include many covariates in their linear model specification in an attempt to control for confounders. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Whitney K. Newey

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

(English) This monograph aims at presenting the core weak convergence theory for sequences of random vectors with values in $\mathbb{R}^k$. In some places, a more general formulation in metric spaces is provided. It lays out the necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Gane Samb Lo , Modou Ngom , Tchilabalo Atozou Kpanzou

We present a general non-parametric statistical inference theory for integrals of quantiles without assuming any specific sampling design or dependence structure. Technical considerations are accompanied by examples and discussions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Nadezhda Gribkova , Mengqi Wang , Ričardas Zitikis

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Anthony C. Davison

The functional linear model extends the notion of linear regression to the case where the response and covariates are iid elements of an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. The unknown to be estimated is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator, whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Tung Pham , Victor Panaretos

Consider a random vector $(X,Y)$ and let $m(x)=E(Y|X=x)$. We are interested in testing $H_0:m\in {\cal M}_{\Theta,{\cal G}}=\{\gamma(\cdot,\theta,g):\theta \in \Theta,g\in {\cal G}\}$ for some known function $\gamma$, some compact set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-16 Ingrid Van Keilegom , César Sánchez Sellero , Wenceslao González Manteiga

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Empirical likelihood method has been applied to dependent observations by Monti (1997) through the Whittle's estimation method. Similar asymptotic distribution of the empirical likelihood ratio statistic for stationary time series has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-01 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning , Arjun K. Gupta

During the past few decades, missing-data problems have been studied extensively, with a focus on the ignorable missing case, where the missing probability depends only on observable quantities. By contrast, research into non-ignorable…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-06 Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho

Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

Randomization tests are based on a re-randomization of existing data to gain data-dependent critical values that lead to exact hypothesis tests under special circumstances. However, it is not always possible to re-randomize data in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Dennis Dobler

Weighted likelihood, in which one solves Horvitz-Thompson or inverse probability weighted (IPW) versions of the likelihood equations, offers a simple and robust method for fitting models to two phase stratified samples. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Norman E. Breslow , Jon A. Wellner

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart