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We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Vine copulas are a flexible class of dependence models consisting of bivariate building blocks and have proven to be particularly useful in high dimensions. Classical model distance measures require multivariate integration and thus suffer…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Matthias Killiches , Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

One of the main challenges in current systems neuroscience is the analysis of high-dimensional neuronal and behavioral data that are characterized by different statistics and timescales of the recorded variables. We propose a parametric…

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

The increasing importance of solar power for electricity generation leads to an increasing demand for probabilistic forecasting of local and aggregated PV yields. In this paper we use an indirect modeling approach for hourly medium to long…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Alfred Müller , Matthias Reuber

Any multivariate distribution can be uniquely decomposed into marginal (1-point) distributions, and a function called the copula, which contains all of the information on correlations between the distributions. The copula provides an…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Robert J. Scherrer , Andreas A. Berlind , Qingqing Mao , Cameron K. McBride

Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino , Marcelo Bourguignon

Various strong coupling theories of the one-component plasma have successfully predicted the thermodynamic and structural properties by separating the Coulomb potential into short- and long-ranged parts in {\itshape ad hoc} ways. Moreover,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-07 Hiroshi Frusawa

Electronic health records (EHR) store hundreds of demographic and laboratory variables from large patient populations. Traditional statistical methods have limited capacity in processing mixed-type data (continuous, ordinal) and capturing…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-10 Manar D. Samad , Yina Hou , Megan A. Witherow , Norou Diawara

To estimate cosmological parameters from a given dataset, we need to construct a likelihood function, which sometimes has a complicated functional form. We introduce the copula, a mathematical tool to construct an arbitrary multivariate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-25 Masanori Sato , Kiyotomo Ichiki , Tsutomu T. Takeuchi

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

Reconstructing gene regulatory networks from large-scale heterogeneous data is a key challenge in biology. In multi-omics data analysis, networks based on pairwise statistical association measures remain popular, as they are easy to build…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Ekaterina Tomilina , Florence Jaffrézic , Gildas Mazo

We propose a generalisation of the logistic regression model, that aims to account for non-linear main effects and complex interactions, while keeping the model inherently explainable. This is obtained by starting with log-odds that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Ingrid Hobæk Haff , Simon Boge Brant , Haakon Bakka

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee

We present a framework to compute non-Gaussian likelihoods for two-point correlation functions. The non-Gaussianity is most pronounced on large scales that will be well-measured by stage-IV weak-lensing surveys. We show how such a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-09 Veronika Oehl , Tilman Tröster

Copulas allow to learn marginal distributions separately from the multivariate dependence structure (copula) that links them together into a density function. Vine factorizations ease the learning of high-dimensional copulas by constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-19 David Lopez-Paz , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Factor models are a parsimonious way to explain the dependence of variables using several latent variables. In Gaussian 1-factor and structural factor models (such as bi-factor, oblique factor) and their factor copula counterparts, factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

Vine copulas are flexible dependence models using bivariate copulas as building blocks. If the parameters of the bivariate copulas in the vine copula depend on covariates, one obtains a conditional vine copula. We propose an extension for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß