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This study examines the challenges of modeling complex and noisy data related to socioeconomic factors over time, with a focus on data from various districts in Odisha, India. Traditional time-series models struggle to capture both trends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Reema Gupta , Snehashish Chakraverty

Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

The concept of SCN offers a fast framework with universal approximation guarantee for lifelong learning of non-stationary data streams. Its adaptive scope selection property enables for proper random generation of hidden unit parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Mahardhika Pratama , Dianhui Wang

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

Understanding the behavior of stochastic gradient methods is a central problem in modern machine learning. Recent work has highlighted diagonal linear networks as a simplified yet expressive setting for analyzing the optimization and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Begoña García Malaxechebarría , Courtney Paquette , Maryam Fazel , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

We study the problem of learning the law of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with additive Gaussian forcing from spatiotemporal observations. Most existing deep learning approaches either assume access to the driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Sebastian Zeng , Andreas Petersson , Wolfgang Bock

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDE) have been trained as both Variational Autoencoders, and as GANs. However, the resulting Stochastic Differential Equations can be hard to interpret or analyse due to the generic nature of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Simon M. Koop , Mark A. Peletier , Jacobus W. Portegies , Vlado Menkovski

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

Accurate crowd simulation is crucial for public safety management, emergency evacuation planning, and intelligent transportation systems. However, existing methods, which typically model crowds as a collection of independent individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Zijin Liu , Xu Geng , Wenshuai Xu , Xiang Zhao , Yan Xia , You Song

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

The manifold hypothesis suggests that high-dimensional neural time series lie on a low-dimensional manifold shaped by simpler underlying dynamics. To uncover this structure, latent dynamical variable models such as state-space models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Pedram Rajaei , Maryam Ostadsharif Memar , Navid Ziaei , Behzad Nazari , Ali Yousefi

Observations from dynamical systems often exhibit irregularities, such as censoring, where values are recorded only if they fall within a certain range. Censoring is ubiquitous in practice, due to saturating sensors, limit-of-detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Orestis Plevrakis

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

Convolutional architectures have recently been shown to be competitive on many sequence modelling tasks when compared to the de-facto standard of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), while providing computational and modeling advantages due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Emre Aksan , Otmar Hilliges
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