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At the CERN Large Hadron Collider experiment, the non-resonant double Higgs production via vector-boson fusion represents a unique mean to probe the VVHH (V=Z, W$^{\pm}$) Higgs self-coupling at the current center of mass energies. Such a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-03-01 Brunella D'Anzi , Nicola De Filippis , Walaa Elmetenawee , Giorgia Miniello

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

The C statistic is a widely used likelihood-ratio statistic for model fitting and goodness-of-fit assessments with Poisson data in high-energy physics and astrophysics. Although it enjoys convenient asymptotic properties, the statistic is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Xiaoli Li , Yang Chen , Xiao-Li Meng , David van Dyk , Massimiliano Bonamente , Vinay Kashyap

A common goal in an experimental physics analysis is to extract information from a reaction with multi-dimensional kinematics. The preferred method for such a task is typically the unbinned maximum likelihood method. In fits using this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-07-02 M. Williams , C. A. Meyer

Refining one's hypotheses in the light of data is a common scientific practice; however, the dependency on the data introduces selection bias and can lead to specious statistical analysis. An approach for addressing this is via conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yoshikazu Terada , Shigeyuki Matsui , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

We obtain an approximate Gaussian distribution from a Poisson distribution after doing a change of variable. A new chi-square function is obtained which can be used for parameter estimations and goodness-of-fit testing when adjusting curves…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 F. M. L. Almeida , M. Barbi , M. A. B. do Vale

Random binnings generated via recursive binary splits are introduced as a way to detect, measure the strength of, and to display the pattern of association between any two variates, whether one or both are continuous or categorical. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 Chris Salahub , Wayne Oldford

This paper studies a method of a two dimensional background calculation for an analysis of events with two particles of the same type registered in experiments in high-energy physics. The standard two-dimensional integration is replaced by…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2017-02-07 Valentin Kuzmin

The C statistics, also known as the Cash statistic, is often used in astronomy for the analysis of low-count Poisson data. One of the challenges of the C statistic is that its probability distribution, under the null hypothesis that the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-12-12 M. Bonamente

This paper aims to develop an effective model-free inference procedure for high-dimensional data. We first reformulate the hypothesis testing problem via sufficient dimension reduction framework. With the aid of new reformulation, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xu Guo , Runze Li , Zhe Zhang , Changliang Zou

In a high-energy physics data analysis, the term "fake" backgrounds refers to events that would formally not satisfy the (signal) process selection criteria, but are accepted nonetheless due to mis-reconstructed particles. This can occur,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-01-29 Jan Gavranovič , Lara Čalić , Jernej Debevc , Else Lytken , Borut Paul Kerševan

This article describes an efficient procedure for computing approximate confidence levels for searches for new particles where the expected signal and background levels are small enough to require the use of Poisson statistics. The results…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2008-11-26 Thomas Junk

Data driven modelling is vital to many analyses at collider experiments, however the derived inference of physical properties becomes subject to details of the model fitting procedure. This work brings a principled Bayesian picture, based…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-23 David Yallup , Will Handley

Experiments searching for extremely rare events surround their sensitive detectors with several layers of different shielding materials to protect them from external radiation and to achieve their low-background requirements to be able to…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-06-27 B. Zatschler , A. J. Biffl , R. Calkins , M. D. Diamond , J. Hall , S. A. S. Harms , M. H. Kelsey , D. S. Pedreros , S. Zatschler

We study the application of a Bayesian method to extract relevant information from data for the case of a signal consisting of two or more decaying particles and its background. The method takes advantage of the dependence that exists in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-06-06 Ezequiel Alvarez

The application of Bayesian Neural Networks(BNN) to discriminate neutrino events from backgrounds in reactor neutrino experiments has been described in Ref.\cite{key-1}. In the paper, BNN are also used to identify neutrino events in reactor…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-12 Ye Xu , WeiWei Xu , YiXiong Meng , Bin Wu

The main technique that has been used to estimate the rate of gravitational wave (gw) bursts is to search for coincidence among times of arrival of candidate events in different detectors. Coincidences are modeled as a (possibly…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Lucio Baggio , Giovanni A. Prodi

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

Most parameter constraints obtained from cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data are based on power estimates and rely on approximate likelihood functions; computational difficulties generally preclude an exact analysis based on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 M. Douspis , J. G. Bartlett , A. Blanchard , M. Le Dour

This paper presents a novel perspective on correlation functions in the clustering analysis of the large-scale structure of the universe. We first recognise that pair counting in bins of radial separation is equivalent to evaluating…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-06 Shiyu Yue , Longlong Feng , Wenjie Ju , Jun Pan , Zhiqi Huang , Feng Fang , Zhuoyang Li , Yan-Chuan Cai , Weishan Zhu