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We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Fariba Karimi , Matthias Raddant

The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Raul Donangelo , Mogens H. Jensen , Ingve Simonsen , Kim Sneppen

As malware, exploits, and cyber-attacks advance over time, so do the mitigation techniques available to the user. However, while attackers often abandon one form of exploitation in favor of a more lucrative one, mitigation techniques are…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-08-10 Omer Katz , Benjamin Livshits

We introduce a model for a market based economic system of cyber-risk valuation to correct fundamental problems of incentives within the information technology and information processing industries. We assess the makeup of the current day…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-05-02 Timothy J. O'Shea , Adam Mondl , T. Charles. Clancy

We study a dynamic labor market in which a risk-averse worker with career concerns chooses each period between self-employment, which generates publicly observed binary output, and employment at a firm, which pays a flat wage but keeps…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Georgy Lukyanov , Konstantin Popov , Shubh Lashkery

We study the problem of allocating bailouts (stimulus, subsidy allocations) to people participating in a financial network subject to income shocks. We build on the financial clearing framework of Eisenberg and Noe that allows the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Marios Papachristou , Jon Kleinberg

Costly pre-play messages can deter unnecessary wars - but the same messages can also entrench stalemates once violence begins. We develop an overlapping-generations model of a security dilemma with persistent group types (normal vs bad),…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-18 Andrei Gyarmathy , Georgy Lukyanov

As impressively shown by the financial crisis in 2007/08, contagion effects in financial networks harbor a great threat for the stability of the entire system. Without sufficient capital requirements for banks and other financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Daniel Ritter

The current public sense of anxiety in dealing with disinformation as manifested by so-called fake news is acutely displayed by the reaction to recent events prompted by a belief in conspiracies among certain groups. A model to deal with…

Financial market resilience reflects the ability of a financial market to withstand external shocks and to recover from them, while its measurement has yet to be standardized. Accordingly, this paper quantifies the adaptability and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Si-Yao Wei , Kun-Liang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

I examine global dynamics in a monetary model with overlapping generations of finite-horizon agents and a binding lower bound on nominal interest rates. Debt targeting rules exacerbate the possibility of self-fulfilling liquidity traps, for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-08 Alessandro Piergallini

Feedback optimization has emerged as an effective strategy for steady-state optimization of dynamical systems. By exploiting models of the steady-state input-output sensitivity, methods of this type are often sample efficient, and their use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Kristian Lindbäck Løvland , Lars Struen Imsland , Bjarne Grimstad

Experiments on online marketplaces and social networks suffer from interference, where the outcome of a unit is impacted by the treatment status of other units. We propose a framework for modeling interference using a ubiquitous deployment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Ariel Boyarsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Jean Pouget-Abadie

I develop and estimate a dynamic equilibrium model of risky entrepreneurs' borrowing and savings decisions incorporating both formal and local-informal credit markets. Households have access to an exogenous formal credit market and to an…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-27 Fan Wang

We propose a pseudo-market solution to resource allocation problems subject to constraints. Our treatment of constraints is general: including bihierarchical constraints due to considerations of diversity in school choice, or scheduling in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Federico Echenique , Antonio Miralles , Jun Zhang

A principal with cheap capital optimally forces her counterparty to borrow at above-market rates. The reason: the form of finance is a screening device. Advances provide liquidity but pool types; contingent transfers separate types, but,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-09 Rui Sun

We develop a novel two-layer approach for optimising mortgage relief products through a simulated multi-agent mortgage environment. While the approach is generic, here the environment is calibrated to the US mortgage market based on…

Motivated by the AIG bailout case in the financial crisis of 2007-2008, we consider an insurer who wants to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. The insurer's risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-10 Bin Zou , Abel Cadenillas

We employ a natural method from the perspective of the optimal stopping theory to analyze entry-exit decisions with implementation delay of a project, and provide closed expressions for optimal entry decision times, optimal exit decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yong-Chao Zhang

Firms compete for clients, creating distributions of market shares ranging from domination by a few giant companies to markets in which there are many small firms. These market structures evolve in time, and may remain stable for many years…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-09 Joseph Hickey