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Related papers: Bailout Stigma

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The principal aim of this work is the evidence on empirical way that catastrophic bifurcation breakdowns or transitions, proceeded by flickering phenomenon, are present on notoriously significant and unpredictable financial markets.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-18 M. Kozłowska , T. Gubiec , T. R. Werner , M. Denys , A. Sienkiewicz , R. Kutner , Z. Struzik

When given the option, will LLMs choose to leave the conversation (bail)? We investigate this question by giving models the option to bail out of interactions using three different bail methods: a bail tool the model can call, a bail string…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Danielle Ensign , Henry Sleight , Kyle Fish

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts

This paper proposes a new measure of tail risk spillover. The empirical application provides evidence of significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from the financial sector to many real economy sectors in the U.S. economy in the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-07 Wan-Chien Chiua , Juan Ignacio Peña , Chih-Wei Wang

Social discrimination seems to be a persistent phenomenon in many cultures. It is important to understand the mechanisms that lead people to judge others by the group to which they belong, rather than individual qualities. It was recently…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-11 Gorm Gruner Jensen , Frederik Tischel , Stefan Bornholdt

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

This paper uses the development of multi-agent market models to present a unified approach to the joint questions of how financial market movements may be simulated, predicted, and hedged against. We examine the effect of different market…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

The growing integration of renewable energy sources necessitates adequate reserve capacity to maintain power balance. However, in market clearing, power companies with flexible resources may submit strategic bids to maximize profits,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-26 Yun Xu , Yunxiao Bai , Yunyong Zhang , Peng Wang , Xuelin Wang , Jiqun Guo , Kaijun Xie , Rusheng Zhao

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

We develop a theoretical framework that aims to link micro-level option hedging and stock-specific factor exposure with macro-level market turbulence and explain endogenous volatility amplification during gamma-squeeze events. By explicitly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Haoying Dai

The classic two-sided many-to-one job matching model assumes that firms treat workers as substitutes and workers ignore colleagues when choosing where to work. Relaxing these assumptions may lead to nonexistence of stable matchings.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-29 Ce Liu , Ziwei Wang , Hanzhe Zhang

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

This paper builds a finite-horizon model to study the role of physical collateral in a model of strategic defaults, when the borrower can develop reputation for honesty. Asset ownership increases attractiveness of the reputational channel:…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-12 Georgy Lukyanov

The information released to investors in financial markets has various forms. We refer to range information as information about the upper and lower bound which the payoff of a risky asset may reach in the future. This study develops…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Jianhao Su , Yanliang Zhang

Return-risk models are the two pillars of modern portfolio theory, which are widely used to make decisions in choosing the loan portfolio of a bank. Banks and other financial institutions are subjected to limited liability protection.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

Prediction models can improve efficiency by automating decisions such as the approval of loan applications. However, they may inherit bias against protected groups from the data they are trained on. This paper adds counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Nicholas Tenev

Dynamical systems with components whose sizes evolve according to multiplicative stochastic rules have been recently combined with entry and exit processes. We show that the assumptions usually made in modeling exits are at odds with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Corrado Di Guilmi , Edoardo Gaffeo , Mauro Gallegati
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