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Meta-learning optimizes an inductive bias---typically in the form of the hyperparameters of a base-learning algorithm---by observing data from a finite number of related tasks. This paper presents an information-theoretic bound on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Arezou Rezazadeh , Sharu Theresa Jose , Giuseppe Durisi , Osvaldo Simeone

Diffusion bridge models have recently become a powerful tool in the field of generative modeling. In this work, we leverage their power to address another important problem in machine learning and information theory, the estimation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Sergei Kholkin , Ivan Butakov , Evgeny Burnaev , Nikita Gushchin , Alexander Korotin

Statistical divergences (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are a basic constituent of statistical inference and machine learning. A modern method for estimating those divergences relies on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld

Many tools exist to detect dependence between random variables, a core question across a wide range of machine learning, statistical, and scientific endeavors. Although several statistical tests guarantee eventual detection of any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Nathaniel Xu , Feng Liu , Danica J. Sutherland

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric dependence measures, we introduce similar measures for discrete random variables. The measures cover the range between two extremes: independence and complete dependence, which take…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hui Li

We propose the conditional predictive impact (CPI), a consistent and unbiased estimator of the association between one or several features and a given outcome, conditional on a reduced feature set. Building on the knockoff framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-14 David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen

We propose a test of independence of two multivariate random vectors, given a sample from the underlying population. Our approach, which we call MINT, is based on the estimation of mutual information, whose decomposition into joint and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-20 Thomas B. Berrett , Richard J. Samworth

Recent works investigated the generalization properties in deep neural networks (DNNs) by studying the Information Bottleneck in DNNs. However, the mea- surement of the mutual information (MI) is often inaccurate due to the density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Denny Wu , Yixiu Zhao , Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Makoto Yamada , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-26 Jaan Altosaar , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

We examine a class of deep learning models with a tractable method to compute information-theoretic quantities. Our contributions are three-fold: (i) We show how entropies and mutual informations can be derived from heuristic statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Marylou Gabrié , Andre Manoel , Clément Luneau , Jean Barbier , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

Several methods of estimating the mutual information of random variables have been developed in recent years. They can prove valuable for novel approaches to learning statistically independent features. In this paper, we use one of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Hlynur Davíð Hlynsson , Laurenz Wiskott

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Accurately detecting multiple change-points is critical for various applications, but determining the optimal number of change-points remains a challenge. Existing approaches based on information criteria attempt to balance goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Hui Chen , Yinxu Jia , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

Bounding the generalization error of learning algorithms has a long history, which yet falls short in explaining various generalization successes including those of deep learning. Two important difficulties are (i) exploiting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Amir R. Asadi , Emmanuel Abbe , Sergio Verdú

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

To infer a function value on a specific point $x$, it is essential to assign higher weights to the points closer to $x$, which is called local polynomial / multivariable regression. In many practical cases, a limited sample size may ruin…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-30 Yanwu Gu , Dong Xia

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

Prediction intervals offer an effective tool for quantifying the uncertainty of loads in distribution systems. The traditional central PIs cannot adapt well to skewed distributions, and their offline training fashion is vulnerable to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Qiuwei Wu , Qian Ai