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Integration over non-negative integrands is a central problem in machine learning (e.g. for model averaging, (hyper-)parameter marginalisation, and computing posterior predictive distributions). Bayesian Quadrature is a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Ed Wagstaff , Saad Hamid , Michael Osborne

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a flexible prediction model/machine learning approach that has gained widespread popularity in recent years. As BART becomes more mainstream, there is an increased need for a paper that walks…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-18 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Jason Roy

We present a method for incorporating missing data in non-parametric statistical learning without the need for imputation. We focus on a tree-based method, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), enhanced with "Missingness Incorporated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-14 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich

Tree-based regression and classification has become a standard tool in modern data science. Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has in particular gained wide popularity due its flexibility in dealing with interactions and non-linear…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-13 Alan Inglis , Andrew Parnell , Catherine Hurley

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a sample-efficient probabilistic numerical method to solve integrals of expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, yet so far,active BQ learning schemes focus merely on the integrand itself as information source,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Alexandra Gessner , Javier Gonzalez , Maren Mahsereci

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a statistical sum of trees model. It can be considered a Bayesian version of machine learning tree ensemble methods where the individual trees are the base learners. However for data sets where…

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a semi-parametric regression model offering state-of-the-art performance on out-of-sample prediction. Despite this success, standard implementations of BART typically provide inaccurate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Meijiang Wang , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Riemannian manifolds provide a principled way to model nonlinear geometric structure inherent in data. A Riemannian metric on said manifolds determines geometry-aware shortest paths and provides the means to define statistical models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Christian Fröhlich , Alexandra Gessner , Philipp Hennig , Bernhard Schölkopf , Georgios Arvanitidis

As the technology for building knowledge based systems has matured, important lessons have been learned about the relationship between the architecture of a system and the nature of the problems it is intended to solve. We are implementing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Lashon B. Booker , Naveen Hota , Connie Loggia Ramsey

We perform Bayesian optimization using a Gaussian process perspective on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). Our BART Kernel (BARK) uses tree agreement to define a posterior over piecewise-constant functions, and we explore the space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Toby Boyne , Jose Pablo Folch , Robert M Lee , Behrang Shafei , Ruth Misener

Bayesian additive regression trees have seen increased interest in recent years due to their ability to combine machine learning techniques with principled uncertainty quantification. The Bayesian backfitting algorithm used to fit BART…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Antonio R. Linero

Estimating posteriors and the associated model evidences, with desired accuracy and affordable computational cost, is a core issue of Bayesian model updating, and can be of great challenge given expensive-to-evaluate models and posteriors…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-09 Jingwen Song , Pengfei Wei

Bayes additive regression trees(BART) is a nonparametric regression model which has gained wide -spread popularity in recent years due to its flexibility and high accuracy of estimation .In spatio-temporal related model,the spatio or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-13 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

High dimensional integration is essential to many areas of science, ranging from particle physics to Bayesian inference. Approximating these integrals is hard, due in part to the difficulty of locating and sampling from regions of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-25 Thomas Foster , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan , Ben Lambert

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) are popular Bayesian ensemble models used in regression and classification analysis. Under this modeling framework, the regression function is approximated by an ensemble of decision trees,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-26 Marco Battiston , Yu Luo

We introduce Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) for log-linear models including multinomial logistic regression and count regression with zero-inflation and overdispersion. BART has been applied to nonparametric mean regression and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-28 Jared S. Murray

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression model that is commonly used in causal inference and beyond. Its strong predictive performance is supported by well-developed estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Bin Yu

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has gained widespread popularity, inspiring numerous extensions across diverse applications. However, relatively little attention has been given to modeling dependent data. To fill this gap, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Xuetao Lu a , Robert E. McCulloch