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Complex dynamic systems are typically either modeled using expert knowledge in the form of differential equations or via data-driven universal approximation models such as artificial neural networks (ANN). While the first approach has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Christoph Plate , Carl Julius Martensen , Sebastian Sager

We develop a neural-network framework for multi-period risk--reward stochastic control problems with constrained two-step feedback policies that may be discontinuous in the state. We allow a broad class of objectives built on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-09 Chang Chen , Duy-Minh Dang

Time-series data in real-world settings typically exhibit long-range dependencies and are observed at non-uniform intervals. In these settings, traditional sequence-based recurrent models struggle. To overcome this, researchers often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-14 Fernando Moreno-Pino , Álvaro Arroyo , Harrison Waldon , Xiaowen Dong , Álvaro Cartea

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations model dynamical systems with ODEs learned by neural networks. However, ODEs are fundamentally inadequate to model systems with long-range dependencies or discontinuities, which are common in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Samuel Holt , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Maren Hackenberg , Astrid Pechmann , Clemens Kreutz , Janbernd Kirschner , Harald Binder

Increasing the layer number of on-chip photonic neural networks (PNNs) is essential to improve its model performance. However, the successively cascading of network hidden layers results in larger integrated photonic chip areas. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Yun Zhao , Hang Chen , Min Lin , Haiou Zhang , Tao Yan , Xing Lin , Ruqi Huang , Qionghai Dai

Real-world systems are often formulated as constrained optimization problems. Techniques to incorporate constraints into Neural Networks (NN), such as Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs), have been used. However, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 C. Coelho , M. Fernanda P. Costa , L. L. Ferrás

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction is critical for air traffic management, airline operations, and environmental assessment. This paper introduces NODE-FDM, a Neural Ordinary Differential Equations-based Flight Dynamics Model trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Gabriel Jarry , Ramon Dalmau , Xavier Olive , Philippe Very

We investigate the use of neural networks (NNs) for the estimation of hidden model parameters and uncertainty quantification from noisy observational data for inverse parameter estimation problems. We formulate the parameter estimation as a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-17 German Villalobos , Johann Rudi , Andreas Mang

In this paper, we introduce a new jump process modeling which involves a particular kind of non-Gaussian stochastic processes with random jumps at random time points. The main goal of this study is to provide an accurate tracking technique…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-13 Seyyed Hamed Fouladi , Ehsan Hajiramezanali

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) are a novel neural architecture, built around initial value problems with learned dynamics which are solved during inference. Thought to be inherently more robust against adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Mustafa Zeqiri , Mark Niklas Müller , Marc Fischer , Martin Vechev

Time-series data in real-world medical settings typically exhibit long-range dependencies and are observed at non-uniform intervals. In such contexts, traditional sequence-based recurrent models struggle. To overcome this, researchers…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-18 Fernando Moreno-Pino , Álvaro Arroyo , Harrison Waldon , Xiaowen Dong , Álvaro Cartea

In this work we present a novel recurrent neural network architecture designed to model systems characterized by multiple characteristic timescales in their dynamics. The proposed network is composed by several recurrent groups of neurons…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Michael Kampffmeyer , Enrico Maiorino , Robert Jenssen

Spurred by tremendous success in pattern matching and prediction tasks, researchers increasingly resort to machine learning to aid original scientific discovery. Given large amounts of observational data about a system, can we uncover the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Hananeh Aliee , Fabian J. Theis , Niki Kilbertus

In data-driven modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena careful consideration often needs to be made in capturing the dynamics of the high wavenumbers. This problem becomes especially challenging when the system of interest exhibits shocks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Alec J. Linot , Joshua W. Burby , Qi Tang , Prasanna Balaprakash , Michael D. Graham , Romit Maulik

The pricing of Bermudan options amounts to solving a dynamic programming principle, in which the main difficulty, especially in high dimension, comes from the conditional expectation involved in the computation of the continuation value.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Bernard Lapeyre , Jérôme Lelong

The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Ymir Mäkinen , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Training recurrent neural networks (RNNs) is a hard problem due to degeneracies in the optimization landscape, a problem also known as vanishing/exploding gradients. Short of designing new RNN architectures, previous methods for dealing…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-11 A. Emin Orhan , Xaq Pitkow

Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Existing NPE methods typically rely on normalizing flows, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Tianyu Chen , Vansh Bansal , James G. Scott