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We propose a combinatorial model of economic development. An economy develops by acquiring new capabilities allowing for the production of an ever greater variety of products of increasingly complex products. Taking into account that…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-20 Alje van Dam , Koen Frenken

Recent studies have found evidence of a negative association between economic complexity and inequality at the country level. Moreover, evidence suggests that sophisticated economies tend to outsource products that are less desirable (e.g.…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-08 Dominik Hartmann , Flavio L. Pinheiro

We develop a two-region economic geography model with vertical innovations that improve the quality of manufactured varieties produced in each region. The chance of innovation depends on the \emph{related variety}, i.e. the importance of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 José M. Gaspar , Minoru Osawa

Economic complexity - a group of dimensionality-reduction methods that apply network science to trade data - represented a paradigm shift in development economics towards materializing the once-intangible concept of capabilities as…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-08 Ziang Huang , Huashan Chen

Economic complexity measures aim to quantify the capability content or endowment of industries and territories; however, capabilities are not observable, and therefore cannot be directly used in the computations. We estimate such endowments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Antonio Russo , Pasquale Scaramozzino , Andrea Zaccaria

Economic complexity has been linked to sustainability outcomes, such as income inequality and greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, it is unclear whether the pursuit of complex and/or related activities naturally aligns with these outcomes, or…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Quinten De Wettinck , Karolien De Bruyne , Wouter Bam , César A. Hidalgo

Debates over the trade-offs between specialization and diversification have long intrigued scholars and policymakers. Specialization can amplify an economy by concentrating on core strengths, while diversification reduces vulnerability by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-31 Matteo Straccamore , Matteo Bruno , Andrea Tacchella

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

Classic economic science is reaching the limits of its explanatory powers. Complexity science uses an increasingly larger set of different methods to analyze physical, biological, cultural, social, and economic factors, providing a broader…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-11 Klaus Jaffe

Economic growth results from countries' accumulation of organizational and technological capabilities. The Economic and Product Complexity Indices, introduced as an attempt to measure these capabilities from a country's basket of exported…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-25 Carlo Bottai , Jacopo Di Iorio , Martina Iori

Industrial policy has returned to the centre of economic governance, particularly in the high-tech sectors where positive network externalities in demand make market dominance self-reinforcing. This paper studies the welfare effects of an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-01 Nigar Hashimzade , Haoran Sun

We develop a theoretical framework to investigate the link between rising scale economies and stagnating productivity. Our model features heterogeneous firms, imperfect competition, and firm selection. We demonstrate that scale economies…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-04 Joel Kariel , Anthony Savagar

Economies grow by upgrading the type of products they produce and export. The technology, capital, institutions and skills needed to make such new products are more easily adapted from some products than others. We study the network of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 C. A. Hidalgo , B. Klinger , A. -L. Barabasi , R. Hausmann

Product diversity, which is highly important in economic systems, has been highlighted by recent studies on international trade. We found an empirical pattern, designated as the "S-shaped curve", that models the relationship between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Hongmei Lei , Jiang Zhang

This article conducts a literature review on the topic of monetary policy in developing countries and focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in promoting economic growth and the relationship between monetary policy and economic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Marouane Daoui

Economic growth is often associated with diversification of economic activities. Making a product in a country is dependent on having, and acquiring, the capabilities needed to make the product, making the process path-dependent. We derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-05 Neave O'Clery , Muhammed A. Yildirim , Ricardo Hausmann

Development and growth are complex and tumultuous processes. Modern economic growth theories identify some key determinants of economic growth. However, the relative importance of the determinants remains unknown, and additional variables…

General Economics · Economics 2018-12-05 Angelica Sbardella , Emanuele Pugliese , Andrea Zaccaria , Pasquale Scaramozzino

Economic complexity reflects the amount of knowledge that is embedded in the productive structure of an economy. It resides on the premise of hidden capabilities - fundamental endowments underlying the productive structure. In general,…

The evolution of economic and innovation systems at the national scale is shaped by a complex dynamics, the footprint of which is the nested structure of the activities in which different countries are competitive. Nestedness is a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-15 Aurelio Patelli , Lorenzo Napolitano , Giulio Cimini , Emanuele Pugliese , Andrea Gabrielli

In complex systems, many different parts interact in non-obvious ways. Traditional research focuses on a few or a single aspect of the problem so as to analyze it with the tools available. To get a better insight of phenomena that emerge…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-04-03 Klaus Jaffe
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