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Neural networks trained with standard objectives exhibit behaviors characteristic of probabilistic inference: soft clustering, prototype specialization, and Bayesian uncertainty tracking. These phenomena appear across architectures -- in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Alan Oursland

Multi-step forecasting is often described through a simple rule of thumb: recursive strategies are said to have high bias and low variance, while direct strategies are said to have low bias and high variance. We revisit this belief by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Riku Green , Huw Day , Zahraa S. Abdallah , Telmo M. Silva Filho

Epistemic Planning (EP) is an important research area dedicated to reasoning about the knowledge and beliefs of agents in multi-agent cooperative or adversarial settings. The Justified Perspective (JP) model is the state-of-the-art approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Guang Hu , Weijia Li , Yangmengfei Xu

Koopman Operator Theory has opened the doors to data-driven learning of globally linear representations of complex nonlinear systems. However, current methodologies for Koopman Operator discovery struggle with uncertainty quantification and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Abhigyan Majumdar , Navid Mojahed , Shima Nazari

In min-min optimization or max-min optimization, one has to compute the gradient of a function defined as a minimum. In most cases, the minimum has no closed-form, and an approximation is obtained via an iterative algorithm. There are two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-11 Pierre Ablin , Gabriel Peyré , Thomas Moreau

We propose expected policy gradients (EPG), which unify stochastic policy gradients (SPG) and deterministic policy gradients (DPG) for reinforcement learning. Inspired by expected sarsa, EPG integrates across the action when estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kamil Ciosek , Shimon Whiteson

The findings on open-set recognition (OSR) show that models trained on classification datasets are capable of detecting unknown classes not encountered during the training process. Specifically, after training, the learned representations…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Jaewoo Park , Hojin Park , Eunju Jeong , Andrew Beng Jin Teoh

Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

We consider optimization of composite objective functions, i.e., of the form $f(x)=g(h(x))$, where $h$ is a black-box derivative-free expensive-to-evaluate function with vector-valued outputs, and $g$ is a cheap-to-evaluate real-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Ergodic Optimization is the process of finding invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. It has been conjectured that "most" functions are optimized by measures supported on a periodic orbit, and it has…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Anthony Quas , Jason Siefken

Bayesian Experimental Design (BED), which aims to find the optimal experimental conditions for Bayesian inference, is usually posed as to optimize the expected information gain (EIG). The gradient information is often needed for efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Ziqiao Ao , Jinglai Li

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow

Maximizing high-dimensional, non-convex functions through noisy observations is a notoriously hard problem, but one that arises in many applications. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by modeling the unknown function as a sample from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Bo Chen , Rui Castro , Andreas Krause

Estimating hyperparameters has been a long-standing problem in machine learning. We consider the case where the task at hand is modeled as the solution to an optimization problem. Here the exact gradient with respect to the hyperparameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Lindon Roberts

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

For dynamical systems involving decision making, the success of the system greatly depends on its ability to make good decisions with incomplete and uncertain information. By leveraging the Koopman operator and its adjoint property, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Adam R. Gerlach , Andrew Leonard , Jonathan Rogers , Chris Rackauckas

An exciting branch of machine learning research focuses on methods for learning, optimizing, and integrating unknown functions that are difficult or costly to evaluate. A popular Bayesian approach to this problem uses a Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-02 Anqi Wu , Mikio C. Aoi , Jonathan W. Pillow

The mathematical properties and data-driven learning of the Koopman operator, which represents nonlinear dynamics as a linear mapping on a properly defined functional spaces, have become key problems in nonlinear system identification and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-02 Wentao Tang

We study the expectation propagation (EP) algorithm for symbol detection in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. The EP detector shows excellent performance but suffers from a high computational complexity due to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Luca Schmid , Dominik Sulz , Laurent Schmalen

Ordinal regression is a classification task where classes have an order and prediction error increases the further the predicted class is from the true class. The standard approach for modeling ordinal data involves fitting parallel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Fred Lu , Francis Ferraro , Edward Raff