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Despite the increasing effectiveness of language models, their reasoning capabilities remain underdeveloped. In particular, causal reasoning through counterfactual question answering is lacking. This work aims to bridge this gap. We first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Alihan Hüyük , Xinnuo Xu , Jacqueline Maasch , Aditya V. Nori , Javier González

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

We introduce an approach to inferring the causal architecture of stochastic dynamical systems that extends rate distortion theory to use causal shielding---a natural principle of learning. We study two distinct cases of causal inference:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-08-23 Susanne Still , James P. Crutchfield , Christopher J. Ellison

AI-driven outcomes can be challenging for end-users to understand. Explanations can address two key questions: "Why this outcome?" (factual) and "Why not another?" (counterfactual). While substantial efforts have been made to formalize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Suryani Lim , Henri Prade , Gilles Richard

This study investigates how accurately different evaluation metrics capture the quality of causal explanations in automatically generated diagnostic reports. We compare six metrics: BERTScore, Cosine Similarity, BioSentVec, GPT-White,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yousang Cho , Key-Sun Choi

Detecting and understanding reasons for defects and inadvertent behavior in software is challenging due to their increasing complexity. In configurable software systems, the combinatorics that arises from the multitude of features a user…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Clemens Dubslaff , Kallistos Weis , Christel Baier , Sven Apel

Causal reasoning ability is crucial for numerous NLP applications. Despite the impressive emerging ability of ChatGPT in various NLP tasks, it is unclear how well ChatGPT performs in causal reasoning. In this paper, we conduct the first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Jinglong Gao , Xiao Ding , Bing Qin , Ting Liu

We consider identification and inference about a counterfactual outcome mean when there is unmeasured confounding using tools from proximal causal inference (Miao et al. [2018], Tchetgen Tchetgen et al. [2020]). Proximal causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Jeffrey Zhang , Wei Li , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Following the recent push for trustworthy AI, there has been an increasing interest in developing contrastive explanation techniques for optimisation, especially concerning the solution of specific decision-making processes formalised as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Roger Xavier Lera-Leri , Filippo Bistaffa , Athina Georgara , Juan Antonio Rodriguez-Aguilar

Probabilistic Logic Programming (PLP) languages, like ProbLog, naturally support reasoning under uncertainty, while maintaining a declarative and interpretable framework. Meanwhile, counterfactual reasoning (i.e., answering ``what if''…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Saimun Habib , Vaishak Belle , Fengxiang He

Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. A purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alan Bundy

Various methods for solving the inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) problem have been developed independently in machine learning and economics. In particular, the method of Maximum Causal Entropy IRL is based on the perspective of entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Navyata Sanghvi , Shinnosuke Usami , Mohit Sharma , Joachim Groeger , Kris Kitani

Causal inference has shown potential in enhancing the predictive accuracy, fairness, robustness, and explainability of Natural Language Processing (NLP) models by capturing causal relationships among variables. The emergence of generative…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Xiaoyu Liu , Paiheng Xu , Junda Wu , Jiaxin Yuan , Yifan Yang , Yuhang Zhou , Fuxiao Liu , Tianrui Guan , Haoliang Wang , Tong Yu , Julian McAuley , Wei Ai , Furong Huang

Background: Causal relations in natural language (NL) requirements convey strong, semantic information. Automatically extracting such causal information enables multiple use cases, such as test case generation, but it also requires to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Julian Frattini , Jannik Fischbach , Daniel Mendez , Michael Unterkalmsteiner , Andreas Vogelsang , Krzystof Wnuk

Causal reasoning is fundamental to human intelligence and crucial for effective decision-making in real-world environments. Despite recent advancements in large vision-language models (LVLMs), their ability to comprehend causality remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Meiqi Chen , Bo Peng , Yan Zhang , Chaochao Lu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been used as experts to infer causal graphs, often by repeatedly applying a pairwise prompt that asks about the causal relationship of each variable pair. However, such experts, including human domain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Aniket Vashishtha , Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Abhinav Kumar , Saketh Bachu , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Amit Sharma

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for causal and counterfactual reasoning, yet their reliability in real-world policy evaluation remains underexplored. We construct a benchmark of 40 empirical policy evaluation cases drawn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yanjie He

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms often struggle to learn policies that generalize to novel situations due to issues such as causal confusion, overfitting to irrelevant factors, and failure to isolate control of state factors. These…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Caleb Chuck , Sankaran Vaidyanathan , Stephen Giguere , Amy Zhang , David Jensen , Scott Niekum

Falsification is drawing attention in quality assurance of heterogeneous systems whose complexities are beyond most verification techniques' scalability. In this paper we introduce the idea of causality aid in falsification: by providing a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-11 Takumi Akazaki , Yoshihiro Kumazawa , Ichiro Hasuo

Since Pearl's seminal work on providing a formal language for causality, the subject has garnered a lot of interest among philosophers and researchers in artificial intelligence alike. One of the most debated topics in this context regards…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-10-30 Sander Beckers , Joost Vennekens
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