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Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

In recent years, empirical Bayesian (EB) inference has become an attractive approach for estimation in parametric models arising in a variety of real-life problems, especially in complex and high-dimensional scientific applications.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Hien D Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta

Fault detection is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of modern industrial systems. However, a significant scientific challenge is the lack of rigorous risk control and reliable uncertainty quantification in existing diagnostic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mingchen Mei , Yi Li , YiYao Qian , Zijun Jia

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) has emerged as a powerful approach for amortized Bayesian inference when the true posterior $p(\theta \mid y)$ is intractable or difficult to sample. But evaluating the accuracy of neural posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-24 Vansh Bansal , Tianyu Chen , James G. Scott

E-values have gained attention as potential alternatives to p-values as measures of uncertainty, significance and evidence. In brief, e-values are realized by random variables with expectation at most one under the null; examples include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Survival data is encountered in a range of disciplines, most notably health and medical research. Although Bayesian approaches to the analysis of survival data can provide a number of benefits, they are less widely used than classical (e.g.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-25 Samuel L. Brilleman , Eren M. Elci , Jacqueline Buros Novik , Rory Wolfe

While there exists several inferential methods for analyzing functional data in factorial designs, there is a lack of statistical tests that are valid (i) in general designs, (ii) under non-restrictive assumptions on the data generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Merle Munko , Marc Ditzhaus , Markus Pauly , Łukasz Smaga , Jin-Ting Zhang

In many practical applications of multiple hypothesis testing using the False Discovery Rate (FDR), the given hypotheses can be naturally partitioned into groups, and one may not only want to control the number of false discoveries (wrongly…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-01 Rina Foygel Barber , Aaditya Ramdas

In the hypothesis testing framework, p-value is often computed to determine rejection of the null hypothesis or not. On the other hand, Bayesian approaches typically compute the posterior probability of the null hypothesis to evaluate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Guosheng Yin , Haolun Shi

As a compact representation of joint probability distributions over a dependence graph of random variables, and a tool for modelling and reasoning in the presence of uncertainty, Bayesian networks are of great importance for artificial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Michael de Oliveira , Luis Soares Barbosa

Testing composite null hypotheses arises in various applications, such as mediation and replicability analyses. The problem becomes more challenging in high-throughput experiments where tens of thousands of features are examined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Pengfei Lyu , Xianyang Zhang , Hongyuan Cao

Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Recent developments in data science and big data research have produced an abundance of large data sets that are too big to be analyzed in their entirety, due to limits on either computer memory or storage capacity. Here, we introduce our R…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-27 Alexey Miroshnikov , Evgeny Savel'ev , Erin M. Conlon

We propose a bootstrap testing framework for a general class of hypothesis tests, which allows resampling under the null hypothesis as well as other forms of bootstrapping. We identify combinations of resampling schemes and bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Alexis Derumigny , Miltiadis Galanis , Wieger Schipper , Aad van der Vaart

Global hypothesis tests are a useful tool in the context of, e.g, clinical trials, genetic studies or meta analyses, when researchers are not interested in testing individual hypotheses, but in testing whether none of the hypotheses is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 Andreas Futschik , Thomas Taus , Sonja Zehetmayer

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

Empirical research in Natural Language Processing (NLP) has adopted a narrow set of principles for assessing hypotheses, relying mainly on p-value computation, which suffers from several known issues. While alternative proposals have been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Erfan Sadeqi Azer , Daniel Khashabi , Ashish Sabharwal , Dan Roth

When a scientist performs an experiment they normally acquire a set of measurements and are expected to demonstrate that their results are "statistically significant" thus confirming whatever hypothesis they are testing. The main method for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-09-30 Jacob Levman

Plausibility is a formalization of exact tests for parametric models and generalizes procedures such as Fisher's exact test. The resulting tests are based on cumulative probabilities of the probability density function and evaluate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Stefan Böhringer , Dietmar Lohmann