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In spite of its high practical relevance, cluster specific multiple inference for linear mixed model predictors has hardly been addressed so far. While marginal inference for population parameters is well understood, conditional inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Peter Kramlinger , Tatyana Krivobokova , Stefan Sperlich

The main result of this paper, Theorem 1.5, establishes a conjecture of Lyons and Peres: for a determinantal point process governed by a reproducing kernel, the system of kernels sampled at the particles of a random configuration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Alexander I. Bufetov , Yanqi Qiu , Alexander Shamov

In this article, we study some properties of the $n$-th order weighted reduced Bergman kernels for planar domains, $n\geq 1$. Specifically, we look at Ramadanov type theorems, localization, and boundary behaviour of the weighted reduced…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Sahil Gehlawat , Aakanksha Jain , Amar Deep Sarkar

In this paper we continue the study of conditional Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state spaces, that we initiated in Bielecki, Jakubowski and Niew\k{e}g\l owski (2015). Here, we turn our attention to the study of Markov consistency and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

This paper studies the deception applied on agent in a partially observable Markov decision process. We introduce deceptive kernel function (the kernel) applied to agent's observations in a discrete POMDP. Based on value iteration, value…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Zhili Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

Information theory provides a fundamental framework for the quantification of information flows through channels, formally Markov kernels. However, quantities such as mutual information and conditional mutual information do not necessarily…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Nihat Ay

In the context of kernel density estimation, we give a characterization of the kernels for which the parametric mean integrated squared error rate $n^{-1}$ may be obtained, where $n$ is the sample size. Also, for the cases where this rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 J. E. Chacón , J. Montanero , A. G. Nogales

We provide estimates of the rate of strong approximation and bounds for probabilities of moderate deviations in the CLT for the $L_1$-norm of the kernel density estimator without any assumptions on the density and assuming that the kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a diffusion with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a set-valued function. We establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We provide a condition for f-ergodicity of strong Markov processes at a subgeometric rate. This condition is couched in terms of a supermartingale property for a functional of the Markov process. Equivalent formulations in terms of a drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Arnaud Guillin

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

We give a number of results on approximations of Markov kernels in total variation and Wasserstein norms weighted by a Lyapunov function. The results are applied to examples from Bayesian statistics where approximations to transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

The density hypothesis on random times becomes now a standard in modeling of risks. One of the basic reasons to introduce the density hypothesis is the desire to have a computable credit risk model. However, recent work shows that merely an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Shiqi Song

We consider a kernel based harmonic analysis of "boundary," and boundary representations. Our setting is general: certain classes of positive definite kernels. Our theorems extend (and are motivated by) results and notions from classical…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Palle Jorgensen , Feng Tian

The paper addresses the problem of computing maximal conditional expected accumulated rewards until reaching a target state (briefly called maximal conditional expectations) in finite-state Markov decision processes where the condition is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Christel Baier , Joachim Klein , Sascha Klüppelholz , Sascha Wunderlich

A kernel-based framework for spatio-temporal data analysis is introduced that applies in situations when the underlying system dynamics are governed by a dynamic equation. The key ingredient is a representer theorem that involves…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Oleg Szehr , Dario Azzimonti , Laura Azzimonti

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

The purpose of this article is to describe all possible beliefs of market participants on objective measures under Markovian environments when a risk-neutral measure is given. To achieve this, we employ the Martin integral representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-02 Hyungbin Park

Conditional kernel mean embeddings are nonparametric models that encode conditional expectations in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While they provide a flexible and powerful framework for probabilistic inference, their performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-09 Kelvin Hsu , Richard Nock , Fabio Ramos