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Network models represent a useful tool to describe the complex set of financial relationships among heterogeneous firms in the system. In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric model for temporal multilayer causal networks with both…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-05 Billio Monica , Casarin Roberto , Costola Michele , Iacopini Matteo

Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, has raised a calamitous situation all over the world and has become one of the most acute and severe ailments in the past hundred years. The prevalence rate of COVID-19 is rapidly rising every day…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-09 Md. Milon Islam , Fakhri Karray , Reda Alhajj , Jia Zeng

We propose a novel data-driven framework for assessing the a-priori epidemic risk of a geographical area and for identifying high-risk areas within a country. Our risk index is evaluated as a function of three different components: the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 A. Pluchino , A. E. Biondo , N. Giuffrida , G. Inturri , V. Latora , R. Le Moli , A. Rapisarda , G. Russo , C. Zappala'

In this work, we developed a deep learning model-based approach to forecast the spreading trend of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States. We implemented the designed model using the United States to confirm cases and state demographic data and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Tong Yang , Long Sha , Justin Li , Pengyu Hong

An outbreak of a novel coronavirus disease (i.e., COVID-19) has been recorded in Wuhan, China since late December 2019, which subsequently became pandemic around the world. Although COVID-19 is an acutely treated disease, it can also be…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-15 Shaoping Hu , Yuan Gao , Zhangming Niu , Yinghui Jiang , Lao Li , Xianglu Xiao , Minhao Wang , Evandro Fei Fang , Wade Menpes-Smith , Jun Xia , Hui Ye , Guang Yang

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

The purpose of this case study is to leverage the concepts and tools presented in the preceding chapters and apply them in a real world social cybersecurity context. With the COVID-19 pandemic emerging as a defining event of the 21st…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-25 David M. Beskow , Kathleen M. Carley

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

The outbreak and propagation of COVID-19 have posed a considerable challenge to modern society. In particular, the different restrictive actions taken by governments to prevent the spread of the virus have changed the way humans interact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-05 Sebastian Contreras , H. Andres Villavicencio , David Medina-Ortiz , Juan Pablo Biron-Lattes , Alvaro Olivera-Nappa

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. As of September 30, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 33…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh , Tirna Mahajan , Tejasvi Arora

Official freely available data about the number of infected at the finest possible level of spatial areal aggregation (Italian provinces) are used to model the spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 infections at local level. Data time…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-23 Diego Giuliani , Maria Michela Dickson , Giuseppe Espa , Flavio Santi

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce…

Currently, novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a big threat to global health. The rapid spread of the virus has created pandemic, and countries all over the world are struggling with a surge in COVID-19 infected cases. There are no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Se Yoon Lee , Bowen Lei , Bani K. Mallick

The study aims to understand Twitter users' discourse and psychological reactions to COVID-19. We use machine learning techniques to analyze about 1.9 million Tweets (written in English) related to coronavirus collected from January 23 to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Jia Xue , Junxiang Chen , Chen Chen , Chengda Zheng , Sijia Li , Tingshao Zhu

We study the datafor the cumulative as well as daily number of cases in the Covid-19 outbreak in China. The cumulative data can be fit to an empirical form obtained from a Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model studied on an Euclidean…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-17 Kathakali Biswas , Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most pressing issues at present. A question which is particularly important for governments and policy makers is the following: Does the virus spread in the same way in different countries? Or are there…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-05 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

Our society is built on a complex web of interdependencies whose effects become manifest during extraordinary events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, with shocks in one system propagating to the others to an exceptional extent. We analyzed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 Riccardo Gallotti , Francesco Valle , Nicola Castaldo , Pierluigi Sacco , Manlio De Domenico

Social media platforms, such as Twitter, provide a suitable avenue for users (people or patients) concerned on health questions to discuss and share information with each other. In December 2019, a few coronavirus disease cases were first…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Tiago de Melo

Background. The paper concerns the SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) pandemic that, starting from the end of February 2020, began spreading along the Italian peninsula, by first attacking small communities in north regions, and then extending to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-25 Luigi Brugnano , Felice Iavernaro , Paolo Zanzottera

Since the classification of COVID-19 as a global pandemic, there have been many attempts to treat and contain the virus. Although there is no specific antiviral treatment recommended for COVID-19, there are several drugs that can…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Ramya Tekumalla , Juan M. Banda