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In scientific applications, there often are several competing models that could be fit to the observed data, so quantification of the model uncertainty is of fundamental importance. In this paper, we develop an inferential model (IM)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Ryan Martin , Huiping Xu , Zuoyi Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

In this paper, we propose a covariate-adjusted nonlinear regression model. In this model, both the response and predictors can only be observed after being distorted by some multiplicative factors. Because of nonlinearity, existing methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Xia Cui , Wensheng Guo , Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu

Benchmarking the capabilities of AI systems, including Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Models, typically ignores the impact of uncertainty in the underlying ground truth answers from experts. This ambiguity is not just limited to…

Regression uses supervised machine learning to find a model that combines several independent variables to predict a dependent variable based on ground truth (labeled) data, i.e., tuples of independent and dependent variables (labels).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Maria Ulan , Welf Löwe , Morgan Ericsson , Anna Wingkvist

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

In many fields of science, generalized likelihood ratio tests are established tools for statistical inference. At the same time, it has become increasingly common that a simulator (or generative model) is used to describe complex processes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Kyle Cranmer , Juan Pavez , Gilles Louppe

This paper develops a new framework, called modular regression, to utilize auxiliary information -- such as variables other than the original features or additional data sets -- in the training process of linear models. At a high level, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

This pedagogical review examines the use of machine learning methods in finite-population inference for survey sampling, with an emphasis on design-based validity and statistical inference. While flexible prediction tools offer substantial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

We consider the problem of reconstructing a signal from multi-layered (possibly) non-linear measurements. Using non-rigorous but standard methods from statistical physics we present the Multi-Layer Approximate Message Passing (ML-AMP)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Andre Manoel , Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , Lenka Zdeborová

Lack-of-fit testing of a regression model with Berkson measurement error has not been discussed in the literature to date. To fill this void, we propose a class of tests based on minimized integrated square distances between a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Hira L. Koul , Weixing Song

Linear regression is widely used to model relationships between responses and predictors. In modern applications, one encounters data where the responses are non-Euclidean random objects situated in a metric space, paired with Euclidean…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Wookyeong Song , Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller , Alexander Petersen

An important feature of successful supervised machine learning applications is to be able to explain the predictions given by the regression or classification model being used. However, most state-of-the-art models that have good predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-14 Victor Coscrato , Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio , Tiago Botari , Rafael Izbicki

In statistical inference, it is rarely realistic that the hypothesized statistical model is well-specified, and consequently it is important to understand the effects of misspecification on inferential procedures. When the hypothesized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Beomjo Park , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Contemporary machine learning applications often involve classification tasks with many classes. Despite their extensive use, a precise understanding of the statistical properties and behavior of classification algorithms is still missing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Christos Thrampoulidis , Samet Oymak , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

In many real-world classification tasks, label noise is an unavoidable issue that adversely affects the generalization error of machine learning models. Additionally, evaluating how methods handle such noise is complicated, as the effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Sjoerd de Vries , Dirk Thierens

This paper explores the use of Deep Learning methods for automatic estimation of quality of human translations. Automatic estimation can provide useful feedback for translation teaching, examination and quality control. Conventional methods…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Yu Yuan , Serge Sharoff

Recent advances in speech foundation models are largely driven by scaling both model size and data, enabling them to perform a wide range of tasks, including speech recognition. Traditionally, ASR models are evaluated using metrics like…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Abdul Waheed , Hanin Atwany , Rita Singh , Bhiksha Raj

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has recently attracted a surge of interest, both in the machine learning and statistics communities. The primary focus of these research fields has been to approximate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-27 Jukka Corander , Ulpu Remes , Ida Holopainen , Timo Koski

Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Recently, several methods have been proposed to explain the predictions of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), in particular of LSTMs. The goal of these methods is to understand the network's decisions by assigning to each input variable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Leila Arras , Ahmed Osman , Klaus-Robert Müller , Wojciech Samek