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This paper is an exploratory study of two epidemiological questions on a worldwide basis. How fast is the disease spreading? Are the restrictions (especially mobility restrictions) for people bring the expected effect? To answer the first…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Tatiana Petrova , Dmitri Soshnikov , Andrey Grunin

Mobility data at EU scale can help understand the dynamics of the pandemic and possibly limit the impact of future waves. Still, since a reliable and consistent method to measure the evolution of contagion at international level is missing,…

With the continued spread of coronavirus, the task of forecasting distinctive COVID-19 growth curves in different cities, which remain inadequately explained by standard epidemiological models, is critical for medical supply and treatment.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Zhenyu Han , Fengli Xu , Yong Li , Tao Jiang , Depeng Jin , Jianhua Lu , James A. Evans

Mobile phone data have been widely used to model the spread of COVID-19, however, quantifying and comparing their predictive value across different settings is challenging. Their quality is affected by various factors and their relationship…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-11 Federico Delussu , Michele Tizzoni , Laetitia Gauvin

This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal relation is not an easy task due to a high number of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-05 Leonardo Martins , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Background: The impact of individual non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as state-wide stay-at-home orders, school closures and gathering size limitations, on the COVID-19 epidemic is unknown. Understanding the impact that above…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-27 Ian E. Fellows , Rachel B. Slayton , Avi J. Hakim

We develop a novel hybrid epidemiological model and a specific methodology for its calibration to distinguish and assess the impact of mobility restrictions (given by Apple's mobility trends data) from other complementary non-pharmaceutical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-30 Victor Hugo Grisales Diaz , Oscar Andres Prado-Rubio , Mark J. Willis

Social distancing remains an important strategy to combat the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. However, the impacts of specific state-level policies on mobility and subsequent COVID-19 case trajectories have not been completely…

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

The research team has utilized an integrated dataset, consisting of anonymized location data, COVID-19 case data, and census population information, to study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility. The study revealed that statistics…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Sepehr Ghader , Jun Zhao , Minha Lee , Weiyi Zhou , Guangchen Zhao , Lei Zhang

The implementation of social distancing policies is key to reducing the impact of the current COVID-19 pandemic. However, their effectiveness ultimately depends on human behavior. In the United States, compliance with social distancing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-29 Christopher Parker , Jorge M. Mejia , Franco Pestilli

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

In response to the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), governments have introduced severe policy measures with substantial effects on human behavior. Here, we perform a large-scale, spatio-temporal analysis of human mobility during the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Joel Persson , Jurriaan F. Parie , Stefan Feuerriegel

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Lu Ling , Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri , Shuocheng Guo

In this work, we discuss the SIR epidemiological model and different variations of it applied to the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemia; we employ the data of the state of Guanajuato and of Mexico. We present some considerations that can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Nana Cabo Bizet , Jonanthan Hidalgo Núñez , Gil Estefano Rodrígez Rivera

Commuting is an important part of daily life. With the gradual recovery from COVID-19 and more people returning to work from the office, the transmission of COVID-19 during commuting becomes a concern. Recent emerging mobility services…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 Baichuan Mo , Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

The rapidly spreading Covid-19 that affected almost all countries, was first reported at the end of 2019. As a consequence of its highly infectious nature, countries all over the world have imposed extremely strict measures to control its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-13 Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci , Ayse Peker-Dobie , Onder Ergonul
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