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Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic economic model predictive control (SEMPC) that minimizes average economic cost while satisfying an empirical expected shortfall (EES) constraint to manage risk. A new scenario-based problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Alireza Arastou , Algo Carè , Ye Wang , Marco Campi , Erik Weyer

We consider a stochastic linear system and address the design of a finite horizon control policy that is optimal according to some average cost criterion and accounts also for probabilistic constraints on both the input and state variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-21 Luca Deori , Simone Garatti , Maria Prandini

In this paper, we address the problem of closed-loop control of nonlinear dynamical systems subjected to probabilistic uncertainties. More precisely, we design time-varying polynomial feedback controllers to follow the given nominal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

This paper considers stochastic linear time-invariant systems subject to constraints on the average number of state-constraint violations over time without knowing the disturbance distribution. We present a novel disturbance-adaptive model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones

We propose a stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework that ensures closed-loop chance constraint satisfaction for linear systems with general sub-Gaussian process and measurement noise. By considering sub-Gaussian noise, we can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Yunke Ao , Johannes Köhler , Manish Prajapat , Yarden As , Melanie Zeilinger , Philipp Fürnstahl , Andreas Krause

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

We present a sample-based Learning Model Predictive Controller (LMPC) for constrained uncertain linear systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The proposed controller builds on earlier work on LMPC for deterministic systems.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

We consider the setting of iterative learning control, or model-based policy learning in the presence of uncertain, time-varying dynamics. In this setting, we propose a new performance metric, planning regret, which replaces the standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Naman Agarwal , Elad Hazan , Anirudha Majumdar , Karan Singh

For linear systems, many data-driven control methods rely on the behavioral framework, using historical data of the system to predict the future trajectories. However, measurement noise introduces errors in predictions. When the noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Baiwei Guo , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

Addressing the uncertainty introduced by increasing renewable integration is crucial for secure power system operation, yet capturing it while preserving the full nonlinear physics of the grid remains a significant challenge. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Ghulam Mohy-ud-din , Yunqi Wang , Rahmat Heidari , Frederik Geth

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

Chance constraints provide a principled framework to mitigate the risk of high-impact extreme events by modifying the controllable properties of a system. The low probability and rare occurrence of such events, however, impose severe…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Shanyin Tong , Anirudh Subramanyam , Vishwas Rao

In this paper we present a Learning Model Predictive Control (LMPC) strategy for linear and nonlinear time optimal control problems. Our work builds on existing LMPC methodologies and it guarantees finite time convergence properties for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-06 Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

The performance of model-based control techniques strongly depends on the quality of the employed dynamics model. If strong guarantees are desired, it is therefore common to robustly treat all possible sources of uncertainty, such as model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Elena Arcari , Andrea Iannelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Existing macroscopic traffic control methods often struggle to strictly regulate rare, safety-critical extreme events under stochastic disturbances. In this paper, we develop a rare chance-constrained optimal control framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Rui Xu , Shanyin Tong , Xuan Di

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

We consider the challenge of finding a deterministic policy for a Markov decision process that uniformly (in all states) maximizes one reward subject to a probabilistic constraint over a different reward. Existing solutions do not fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Jaeyoung Lee , Sean Sedwards , Krzysztof Czarnecki