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We consider initial value problems of nonlinear dynamical systems, which include physical parameters. A quantity of interest depending on the solution is observed. A discretisation yields the trajectories of the quantity of interest in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Roland Pulch , Maha Youssef

Deep neural networks have become increasingly of interest in dynamical system prediction, but out-of-distribution generalization and long-term stability still remains challenging. In this work, we treat the domain parameters of dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Stathi Fotiadis , Mario Lino , Shunlong Hu , Stef Garasto , Chris D Cantwell , Anil Anthony Bharath

Recommender Systems have become an integral part of online e-Commerce platforms, driving customer engagement and revenue. Most popular recommender systems attempt to learn from users' past engagement data to understand behavioral traits of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Venugopal Mani , Ramasubramanian Balasubramanian , Sushant Kumar , Abhinav Mathur , Kannan Achan

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Learning the continuous dynamics of a system from snapshots of its temporal marginals is a problem which appears throughout natural sciences and machine learning, including in quantum systems, single-cell biological data, and generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Kirill Neklyudov , Rob Brekelmans , Daniel Severo , Alireza Makhzani

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

The identification of nonlinear dynamics from observations is essential for the alignment of the theoretical ideas and experimental data. The last, in turn, is often corrupted by the side effects and noise of different natures, so…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Anna Shalova , Ivan Oseledets

Semi-supervised and unsupervised systems provide operators with invaluable support and can tremendously reduce the operators load. In the light of the necessity to process large volumes of video data and provide autonomous decisions, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Olga Isupova , Danil Kuzin , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

Projection-based reduced order models are effective at approximating parameter-dependent differential equations that are parametrically separable. When parametric separability is not satisfied, which occurs in both linear and nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Peter Sentz , Kristian Beckwith , Eric C. Cyr , Luke N. Olson , Ravi Patel

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

This article presents an identification methodology to capture general relationships, with application to piecewise nonlinear approximations of model predictive control for constrained (non)linear systems. The mathematical formulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Van-Vuong Trinh , Mazen Alamir , Patrick Bonnay

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Interacting particle systems play a key role in science and engineering. Access to the governing particle interaction law is fundamental for a complete understanding of such systems. However, the inherent system complexity keeps the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhichao Han , David S. Kammer , Olga Fink

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Identifying dynamical systems from experimental data is a notably difficult task. Prior knowledge generally helps, but the extent of this knowledge varies with the application, and customized models are often needed. Neural ordinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-13 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Valery Morgenthaler , Sebastian Trimpe , Florent Di Meglio

We propose in this article an extension of the piecewise linear car-following model to multi-anticipative driving. As in the one-car-anticipative model, the stability and the stationary regimes are characterized thanks to a variational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Nadir Farhi , Habib Haj-Salem , Jean-Patrick Lebacque