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We investigate, through a fractional mathematical model, the effects of physical distance on the SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission. Two controls are considered in our model for eradication of the spread of COVID-19: media education, through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Samia Bushnaq , Tareq Saeed , Delfim F. M. Torres , Anwar Zeb

Since the first coronavirus case was identified in the U.S. on Jan. 21, more than 1 million people in the U.S. have confirmed cases of COVID-19. This infectious respiratory disease has spread rapidly across more than 3000 counties and 50…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Shuang Li , Lu Wang , Xinyun Chen , Yixiang Fang , Yan Song

COVID-19 continues to spread across the country and around the world. Current strategies for managing the spread of COVID-19 include social distancing. We present VERA, an interactive AI tool, that first enables users to specify conceptual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-02 William Broniec , Sungeun An , Spencer Rugaber , Ashok K. Goel

The number of confirmed cases of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan has been increasing day by day and has had a serious impact on the society especially after the declaration of the state of emergency on April 7, 2020. This study…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-29 Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Takayuki Ozu

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

The present article studies the extension of two deterministic models for describing the novel coronavirus pandemic crisis, the SIR model and the SEIR model. The models were studied and compared to real data in order to support the validity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-05 P. H. P. Cintra , M. F. Citeli , F. N. Fontinele

We extend the classical SIR model of infectious disease spread to account for time dependence in the parameters, which also include diffusivities. The temporal dependence accounts for the changing characteristics of testing, quarantine and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Zhenlin Wang , Xiaoxuan Zhang , Gregory Teichert , Mariana Carrasco-Teja , Krishna Garikipati

In this paper we analyze the effects of commuting and social inequalities for the epidemic development of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). With this aim we consider a SEIRD (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and dead by disease)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 João A. M. Gondim , Thiago Yukio Tanaka

The new coronavirus known as COVID-19 is spread world-wide since December 2019. Without any vaccination or medicine, the means of controlling it are limited to quarantine and social distancing. Here we study the spatio-temporal propagation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Bnaya Gross , Zhiguo Zheng , Shiyan Liu , Xiaoqi Chen , Alon Sela , Jianxin Li , Daqing Li , Shlomo Havlin

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

In this paper, we introduce a novel modeling framework for incorporating fear of infection and frustration with social distancing into disease dynamics. We show that the resulting SEIR behavior-perception model has three principal modes of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-14 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell

A simple analytical model for modeling the evolution of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic is presented. The model is based on the numerical solution of the widely used Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) populations model for describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Efthimios Kaxiras , George Neofotistos , Eleni Angelaki

The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United States has forced federal and local governments to implement containment measures. Moreover, the severity of the situation has sparked engagement by both the research and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Min Lu , Hemant Ishwaran

When the novel coronavirus disease SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) was officially declared a pandemic by the WHO in March 2020, the scientific community had already braced up in the effort of making sense of the fast-growing wealth of data gathered by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Timoteo Carletti , Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Piazza

Disease transmission is studied through disciplines like epidemiology, applied mathematics, and statistics. Mathematical simulation models for transmission have implications in solving public and personal health challenges. The SIR model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-04 R. Jayatilaka , R. Patel , M. Brar , Y. Tang , N. M. Jisrawi , F. Chishtie , J. Drozd , S. R. Valluri

We consider the pandemic spreading of COVID-19 in India after the outbreak of the coronavirus in Wuhan city, China. We estimate the transmission rate of the initial infecting individuals of COVID-19 in India by using the officially reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-09 R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

In this paper, we introduce a new control-theoretic paradigm for mitigating the spread of a virus. To this end, our discrete-time controller, aims to reduce the number of new daily deaths, and consequently, the cumulative number of deaths.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-17 Kevin Burke , B. Ross Barmish

We study seasonal epidemic spreading in a susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) model on smallworld graphs. We derive a mean-field description that accurately captures the salient features of the model, most notably a phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-26 Daniel Malz , Andrea Pizzi , Andreas Nunnenkamp , Johannes Knolle

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu