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Related papers: New robust inference for predictive regressions

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This paper develops robust inference methods for predictive regressions that address key challenges posed by endogenously persistent or heavy-tailed regressors, as well as persistent volatility in errors. Building on the Cauchy estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is well-known to be susceptible to outliers. Robust process regression models based on t-process or other heavy-tailed processes have been developed to address the problem. However, due to the nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Wang Zhanfeng , Noh Maengseok , Lee Youngjo , Shi Jianqing

Many financial and economic variables, including financial returns, exhibit nonlinear dependence, heterogeneity and heavy-tailedness. These properties may make problematic the analysis of (non-)efficiency and volatility clustering in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Rustam Ibragimov , Rasmus Pedersen , Anton Skrobotov

Empirical analyses on income and wealth inequality and those in other fields in economics and finance often face the difficulty that the data is heterogeneous, heavy-tailed or correlated in some unknown fashion. The paper focuses on…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Rustam Ibragimov , Paul Kattuman , Anton Skrobotov

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

Tensor regression is an important tool for tensor data analysis, but existing works have not considered the impact of outliers, making them potentially sensitive to such data points. This paper proposes a low tubal rank robust regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Zihao Song , Jicai Liu , Heng Lian , Weihua Zhao

We propose a robust hypothesis testing procedure for the predictability of multiple predictors that could be highly persistent. Our method improves the popular extended instrumental variable (IVX) testing (Phillips and Lee, 2013; Kostakis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Xiaosai Liao , Xinjue Li , Qingliang Fan

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

In this paper, we propose a robust profile estimation method for the parametric and nonparametric components of a single index model when the errors have a strongly unimodal density with unknown nuisance parameter. Under regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-25 Claudio Agostinelli , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente

We propose a robust variable selection procedure using a divergence based M-estimator combined with a penalty function. It produces robust estimates of the regression parameters and simultaneously selects the important explanatory…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abhijit Mandal , Samiran Ghosh

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu
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