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Continuous-time random disturbances from the renewable generation pose a significant impact on power system dynamic behavior. In evaluating this impact, the disturbances must be considered as continuous-time random processes instead of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Ensuring safety and driving consistency is a significant challenge for autonomous vehicles operating in partially observed environments. This work introduces a consistent parallel trajectory optimization (CPTO) approach to enable safe and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Lei Zheng , Rui Yang , Minzhe Zheng , Michael Yu Wang , Jun Ma

We revisit the computation of a probability of collision in the context of automotive collision avoidance (also referred to as conflict detection in other contexts). After reviewing existing approaches to the definition and computation of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Richard Altendorfer , Christoph Wilkmann

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Trajectory planning in dense, interactive traffic scenarios presents significant challenges for autonomous vehicles, primarily due to the uncertainty of human driver behavior and the non-convex nature of collision avoidance constraints.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-30 Erik Börve , Nikolce Murgovski , Leo Laine

The Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method is the gold standard for non-equilibrium rarefied gas dynamics, yet its computational cost can be prohibitive, especially for near-continuum regimes and high-fidelity \emph{ab initio}…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-26 Ehsan Roohi , Ahmad Shoja-Sani , Stefan Stefanov

In order for autonomous vehicles to become a part of the Intelligent Transportation Ecosystem, they are required to guarantee a particular level of safety. For that to happen a safe vehicle control algorithms need to be developed, which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Vladislav Kibalov , Oleg Shipitko

Decision making for dynamic systems is challenging due to the scale and dynamicity of such systems, and it is comprised of decisions at strategic, tactical, and operational levels. One of the most important aspects of decision making is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-12 Sara Masoud , Bijoy Chowdhury , Young-Jun Son , Russell Tronstad

Motion planning under differential constraints is a classic problem in robotics. To date, the state of the art is represented by sampling-based techniques, with the Rapidly-exploring Random Tree algorithm as a leading example. Yet, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Edward Schmerling , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

Density of the reachable states can help understand the risk of safety-critical systems, especially in situations when worst-case reachability is too conservative. Recent work provides a data-driven approach to compute the density…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Yue Meng , Zeng Qiu , Md Tawhid Bin Waez , Chuchu Fan

In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo

The reliability of a complex industrial system can rarely be assessed analytically. As system failure is often a rare event, crude Monte-Carlo methods are prohibitively expensive from a computational point of view. In order to reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 H. Chraibi , A. Dutfoy , T. Galtier , J. Garnier

We tackle the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain time-varying locations. The uncertainties are modeled using widely accepted Gaussian distributions, resulting in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-16 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Existing work in multi-agent collision prediction and avoidance typically assumes discrete-time trajectories with Gaussian uncertainty or that are completely deterministic. We propose an approach that allows detection of collisions even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Jan-Peter Calliess , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

We describe collective-move Monte Carlo algorithms designed to approximate the overdamped dynamics of self-assembling nanoscale components equipped with strong, short-ranged and anisotropic interactions. Conventional Monte Carlo simulations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-16 Stephen Whitelam

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

A novel algorithm is presented for the estimation of collision probabilities between dynamic objects with uncertain trajectories, where the trajectories are given as a sequence of poses with Gaussian distributions. We propose an adaptive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Charles Champagne Cossette , Taylor Scott Clawson , Andrew Feit

This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann