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The long-lasting socio-economic impact of the global financial crisis has questioned the adequacy of traditional tools in explaining periods of financial distress, as well as the adequacy of the existing policy response. In particular, the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-21 Chiara Perillo , Stefano Battiston

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

Interbank lending and borrowing occur when financial institutions seek to settle and refinance their mutual positions over time and circumstances. This interactive process involves money creation at the aggregate level. Coordination…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Feng Zhou

We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Fabio Caccioli , Thomas A. Catanach , J. Doyne Farmer

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-16 Matt V. Leduc , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We analyze the stability of financial investment networks, where financial institutions hold overlapping portfolios of assets. We consider the effect of portfolio diversification and heterogeneous investments using a random matrix dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-03 Preben Forer , Barak Budnick , Pierpaolo Vivo , Sabrina Aufiero , Silvia Bartolucci , Fabio Caccioli

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

We propose a model and an estimation technique to distinguish systemic risk and contagion in credit risk. The main idea is to assume, for a set of $d$ obligors, a set of $d$ idiosyncratic shocks and a shock that triggers the default of all…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Umberto Cherubini , Sabrina Mulinacci

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

In this paper we introduce a generalized extension of the Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to allow for time dynamics of the interbank liabilities, including a dynamic examination of default risk. This framework separates the cash…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-28 Tathagata Banerjee , Alex Bernstein , Zachary Feinstein

We propose a new model of the liquidity driven banking system focusing on overnight interbank loans. This significant branch of the interbank market is commonly neglected in the banking system modeling and systemic risk analysis. We…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-17 Paweł Smaga , Mateusz Wiliński , Piotr Ochnicki , Piotr Arendarski , Tomasz Gubiec

I develop a tractable adverse-selection model comparing secured bank loans and bonds when both pledge collateral but differ in effective liquidation efficiency. A small wedge in recovery rates generates coexistence, a sharp bank-bond…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Georgy Lukyanov

The stability of a complex financial system may be assessed by measuring risk contagion between various financial institutions with relatively high exposure. We consider a financial network model using a bipartite graph of financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

We introduce a dynamic and stochastic interbank model with an endogenous notion of distress contagion, arising from rational worries about future defaults and ensuing losses. This entails a mark-to-market valuation adjustment for interbank…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-27 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri