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Nonlinear and delayed effects of covariates often render time series forecasting challenging. To this end, we propose a novel forecasting framework based on ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Nina Drobac , Margaux Brégère , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

With the advent of digital astronomy, new benefits and new challenges have been presented to the modern day astronomer. No longer can the astronomer rely on manual processing, instead the profession as a whole has begun to adopt more…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-16 Kyle B. Johnston , Adrian M. Peter

Traditional saliency map methods, popularized in computer vision, highlight individual points (pixels) of the input that contribute the most to the model's output. However, in time series, they offer limited insights, as semantically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Christodoulos Kechris , Jonathan Dan , David Atienza

Domain generalization methods aim to learn models robust to domain shift with data from a limited number of source domains and without access to target domain samples during training. Popular domain alignment methods for domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Wenyu Zhang , Mohamed Ragab , Chuan-Sheng Foo

The signature of a path is an essential object in the theory of rough paths. The signature representation of the data stream can recover standard statistics, e.g. the moments of the data stream. The classification of random walks indicates…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-09-14 Hao Ni

The signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterise a stream of data up to a negligible equivalence class. It is a transform which has previously been treated as a fixed feature transformation, on top of which a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Patric Bonnier , Patrick Kidger , Imanol Perez Arribas , Cristopher Salvi , Terry Lyons

Data segmentation a.k.a. multiple change point analysis has received considerable attention due to its importance in time series analysis and signal processing, with applications in a variety of fields including natural and social sciences,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

Mutational signatures describe the pattern of mutations over the different mutation types. Each mutation type is determined by a base substitution and the flanking nucleotides to the left and right of that base substitution. Due to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-24 Ragnhild Laursen , Marta Pelizzola , Lasse Maretty , Asger Hobolth

Modern deep learning for asset allocation typically separates forecasting from optimization. We argue this creates a fundamental mismatch where minimizing prediction errors fails to yield robust portfolios. We propose the Signature Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yoontae Hwang , Stefan Zohren

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus

Building upon findings in computational model of handwriting learning and execution, we introduce the concept of stability to explain the difference between the actual movements performed during multiple execution of the subject's…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Antonio Parziale , Moises Diaz , Miguel A. Ferrer , Angelo Marcelli

This paper presents an accurate method for verifying online signatures. The main difficulty of signature verification come from: (1) Lacking enough training samples (2) The methods must be spatial change invariant. To deal with these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Mohammad Hajizadeh Saffar , Mohsen Fayyaz , Mohammad Sabokrou , Mahmood Fathy

Generating multivariate time series is a promising approach for sharing sensitive data in many medical, financial, and IoT applications. A common type of multivariate time series originates from a single source such as the biometric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Ali Seyfi , Jean-Francois Rajotte , Raymond T. Ng

A generalized criterion for signature-based algorithms to compute Gr\"obner bases is proposed in this paper. This criterion is named by "generalized criterion", because it can be specialized to almost all existing criteria for…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2011-06-27 Yao Sun , Dingkang Wang

In many applied sciences a popular analysis strategy for high-dimensional data is to fit many multivariate generalized linear models in parallel. This paper presents a novel approach to address the resulting multiple testing problem by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Riccardo De Santis , Jelle J. Goeman , Samuel Davenport , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

In this paper, a writer-dependent signature verification method is proposed. Two different types of texture features, namely Wavelet and Local Quantized Patterns (LQP) features, are employed to extract two kinds of transform and statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Ankan Kumar Bhunia , Alireza Alaei , Partha Pratim Roy

How can we explain the predictions of a machine learning model? When the data is structured as a multivariate time series, this question induces additional difficulties such as the necessity for the explanation to embody the time dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Jonathan Crabbé , Mihaela van der Schaar

A generalized criterion for signature related algorithms to compute Gr\"obner basis is proposed in this paper. Signature related algorithms are a popular kind of algorithms for computing Gr\"obner basis, including the famous F5 algorithm,…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2011-02-22 Yao Sun , Dingkang Wang

Time series anomaly detection presents various challenges due to the sequential and dynamic nature of time-dependent data. Traditional unsupervised methods frequently encounter difficulties in generalization, often overfitting to known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-30 Aitor Sánchez-Ferrera , Borja Calvo , Jose A. Lozano