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Many astronomical surveys prompt follow-up observations, but the decision process through which candidates are selected for follow-up can be difficult to model. This poses a challenge when inferring properties of the intrinsic population of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-08 Reed Essick , Amanda M. Farah

Transportation surveys are widely used to understand travel preferences and adoption barriers, yet most survey-based analyses remain descriptive or predictive and rarely provide sparse, policy-feasible intervention strategies. We study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fatima Ashraf , Muhammad Ayub Sabir , Junbiao Pang , Yufang Zhou , Yan Shang

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

We demonstrate how Hahn et al.'s Bayesian Causal Forests model (BCF) can be used to estimate conditional average treatment effects for the longitudinal dataset in the 2022 American Causal Inference Conference Data Challenge. Unfortunately,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-15 Ajinkya H. Kokandakar , Hyunseung Kang , Sameer K. Deshpande

Bayesian hierarchical methods implemented for small area estimation focus on reducing the noise variation in published government official statistics by borrowing information among dependent response values. Even the most flexible models…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-05 Terrance D. Savitsky

Geostatistical modeling of the reservoir intrinsic properties starts only with sparse data available. These estimates will depend largely on the number of wells and their location. The drilling costs are so high that they do not allow new…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-16 Júlio Caineta

Bayesian hierarchical models are well-suited to analyzing the often noisy data from electroencephalography experiments in cognitive neuroscience: these models provide an intuitive framework to account for structures and correlations in the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-17 Davide Turco , Conor Houghton

We introduce Bayesian hierarchical models for predicting high-dimensional tabular survey data which can be distributed from one or multiple classes of distributions (e.g., Gaussian, Poisson, Binomial, etc.). We adopt a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Saikat Nandy , Scott H. Holan , Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle

Reduced-rank regression recognises the possibility of a rank-deficient matrix of coefficients. We propose a novel Bayesian model for estimating the rank of the coefficient matrix, which obviates the need for post-processing steps and allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Latent variable models are used to estimate variables of interest quantities which are observable only up to some measurement error. In many studies, such variables are known but not precisely quantifiable (such as "job satisfaction" in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-19 Ricardo Silva

Since coral reef ecosystems face threats from human activities and climate change, coral conservation programs are implemented worldwide. Monitoring coral health provides references for guiding conservation activities. However, current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Xinlei Shao , Hongruixuan Chen , Kirsty Magson , Jiaqi Wang , Jian Song , Jundong Chen , Jun Sasaki

Recent research revealed a considerable lack of reliability for user feedback when interacting with adaptive systems, often denoted as user noise or human uncertainty. Moreover, this lack of reliability holds striking impacts for the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

The assumption of group heterogeneity has become popular in panel data models. We develop a constrained Bayesian grouped estimator that exploits researchers' prior beliefs on groups in a form of pairwise constraints, indicating whether a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-31 Boyuan Zhang

We analyze the problem of learning a single user's preferences in an active learning setting, sequentially and adaptively querying the user over a finite time horizon. Learning is conducted via choice-based queries, where the user selects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Stephen N. Pallone , Peter I. Frazier , Shane G. Henderson

The assessment of diversity and similarity is relevant in monitoring the status of ecosystems. The respective indicators are based on the taxonomic composition of biological communities of interest, currently estimated through the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Fabio Divino , Johanna Ärje , Antti Penttinen , Kristian Meissner , Salme Kärkkäinen

We develop a fully Bayesian hierarchical model for trend filtering, itself a new development in nonparametric, univariate regression. The framework more broadly applies to the generalized lasso, but focus is on Bayesian trend filtering. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-29 Edward A. Roualdes

Automated benthic image annotation is crucial to efficiently monitor and protect coral reefs against climate change. Current machine learning approaches fail to capture the hierarchical nature of benthic organisms covering reef substrata,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Célia Blondin , Joris Guérin , Kelly Inagaki , Guilherme Longo , Laure Berti-Équille

Accurately estimating the informativeness of individual samples in a dataset is an important objective in deep learning, as it can guide sample selection, which can improve model efficiency and accuracy by removing redundant or potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Johannes Kaiser , Kristian Schwethelm , Daniel Rueckert , Georgios Kaissis

We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight question budgets. Classical Bayesian design and computerized adaptive testing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-04 Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu , Assaf Zeevi