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We empirically analyze the scaling properties of daily Foreign Exchange rates, Stock Market indices and Bond futures across different financial markets. We study the scaling behaviour of the time series by using a generalized Hurst exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , M. M. Dacorogna

Using a relationship between the moments of the probability distribution of times between the two consecutive trades (intertrade time distribution) and the moments of the distribution of a daily number of trades we show, that the underlying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov

We present the results of a simulation study into the properties of 12 different estimators of the Hurst parameter, $H$, or the fractional integration parameter, $d$, in long memory time series. We compare and contrast their performance on…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-08 William Rea , Les Oxley , Marco Reale , Jennifer Brown

In financial markets, the market order sign exhibits strong persistence, widely known as the long-range correlation (LRC) of order flow; specifically, the sign correlation function displays long memory with power-law exponent $\gamma$, such…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Yuki Sato , Kiyoshi Kanazawa

We develop and investigate a test for jumps based on high-frequency observations of a fractional process with an additive jump component. The Hurst exponent of the fractional process is unknown. The asymptotic theory under infill…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Michael Sonntag

Recently, Giraitis et al. (2003, [10]) proposed the $V/S$ statistic for testing long memory in random sequences. We generalize this statistic to the setting of random fields. The null hypothesis is concerned with short memory random fields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-30 Frédéric Lavancier

We use a new method of studying the Hurst exponent with time and scale dependency. This new approach allow us to recover the major events affecting worldwide markets (such as the September 11th terrorist attack) and analyze the way those…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 J. A. O. Matos , S. M. A. Gama , H. J. Ruskin , A. Sharkasi , M. Crane

Long-term memory is a feature observed in systems ranging from neural networks to epidemiological models. The memory in such systems is usually modeled by the time delay. Furthermore, the nonlocal operators, such as the "fractional order…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Divya D. Joshi , Sachin Bhalekar , Prashant M. Gade

The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-29 M. S. Santhanam , Holger Kantz

This research attempts to model the stochastic process of trades in a limit order book market as a marked point process. We propose a semi-parametric model for the conditional distribution given the past, attempting to capture the effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Mingyu Tang , Mark Schervish

We consider the residual empirical process in random design regression with long memory errors. We establish its limiting behaviour, showing that its rates of convergence are different from the rates of convergence for to the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Pawel Lorek , Rafal Kulik

In the absence of inhibition, excitatory neuronal networks can alternate between bursts and interburst intervals (IBI), with heterogeneous length distributions. As this dynamic remains unclear, especially the durations of each epoch, we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Lou Zonca , David Holcman

In the present work we investigate the multiscale nature of the correlations for high frequency data (1 minute) in different futures markets over a period of two years, starting on the 1st of January 2003 and ending on the 31st of December…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 M. Bartolozzi , C. Mellen , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

Long short-term memory (LSTM) based acoustic modeling methods have recently been shown to give state-of-the-art performance on some speech recognition tasks. To achieve a further performance improvement, in this research, deep extensions on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-05-12 Xiangang Li , Xihong Wu

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

For long-memory time series, inference based on resampling is of crucial importance, since the asymptotic distribution can often be non-Gaussian and is difficult to determine statistically. However due to the strong dependence, establishing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Neuronal networks can generate burst events. It remains unclear how to analyse interburst periods and their statistics. We study here the phase-space of a mean-field model, based on synaptic short-term changes, that exhibit burst and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-17 Lou Zonca , David Holcman

Characterizing bursty temporal interaction patterns of temporal networks is crucial to investigate the evolution of temporal networks as well as various collective dynamics taking place in them. The temporal interaction patterns have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-31 Hang-Hyun Jo , Takayuki Hiraoka