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We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

Varying coefficient models are widely used to characterize dynamic associations between longitudinal outcomes and covariates. Existing work on varying coefficient models, however, all assumes that observation times are independent of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Yu Gu , Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

In prevalent cohort studies where subjects are recruited at a cross-section, the time to an event may be subject to length-biased sampling, with the observed data being either the forward recurrence time, or the backward recurrence time, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Pourab Roy , Jason P. Fine , Michael R. Kosorok

In this paper, we study difference-in-differences identification and estimation strategies when the parallel trends assumption holds after conditioning on covariates. We consider empirically relevant settings where the covariates can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Carolina Caetano , Brantly Callaway

This paper explores foundational and applied aspects of survival analysis, using fall risk assessment as a case study. It revisits key time-related probability distributions and statistical methods, including logistic regression, Poisson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Tianhua Chen

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

Prediction in high dimensional settings is difficult due to large by number of variables relative to the sample size. We demonstrate how auxiliary "co-data" can be used to improve the performance of a Random Forest in such a setting.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-05 Dennis E. te Beest , Steven W. Mes , Ruud H. Brakenhoff , Mark A. van de Wiel

Tree-based methods are popular nonparametric tools in studying time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we introduce a novel framework for survival trees and ensembles, where the trees partition the dynamic survivor population and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Mei-Cheng Wang

Tree methods (recursive partitioning) are a popular class of nonparametric methods for analyzing data. One extension of the basic tree methodology is the survival tree, which applies recursive partitioning to censored survival data. There…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Wei Fu , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

In prediction tasks with multi-class outcomes, identifying covariates specifically associated with one or more outcome classes can be important. Conventional variable importance measures (VIMs) from random forests (RFs), like permutation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Roman Hornung , Alexander Hapfelmeier

We consider a joint survival and mixed-effects model to explain the survival time from longitudinal data and high-dimensional covariates in a population. The longitudinal data is modeled using a non linear mixed-effects model to account for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) has become a popular measure to summarize event times in longitudinal studies. Defined as the area under the survival function up to a time horizon $\tau$ > 0, the RMST can be interpreted as the life…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Alina Schenk , Vanessa Basten , Matthias Schmid

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed

We propose two novel approaches for estimating time-varying effects of functional predictors within a linear functional Cox model framework. This model allows for time-varying associations of a functional predictor observed at baseline,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Hongyu Du , Andrew Leroux

In many real problems, dependence structures more general than exchangeability are required. For instance, in some settings partial exchangeability is a more reasonable assumption. For this reason, vectors of dependent Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Alan Riva Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen

Survival analysis often relies on Cox models, assuming both linearity and proportional hazards (PH). This study evaluates machine and deep learning methods that relax these constraints, comparing their performance with penalized Cox models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ivan Rossi , Flavio Sartori , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli , Tiziana Sanavia

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Random forests is a common non-parametric regression technique which performs well for mixed-type unordered data and irrelevant features, while being robust to monotonic variable transformations. Standard random forests, however, do not…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-19 Taylor Pospisil , Ann B. Lee
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