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Over the past several years, across the globe, there has been an increase in people seeking care in emergency departments (EDs). ED resources, including nurse staffing, are strained by such increases in patient volume. Accurate forecasting…

Asymmetric information in healthcare implies that patients could have difficulty trading off non-health and health related information. I document effects on patient demand when predicted wait time is disclosed to patients in an emergency…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-26 Stephenson Strobel

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency department (ED) care for frail elderly patients is associated with an increased use of resources due to their complex medical needs and frequently difficult psycho-social situation. To better target their needs with specially…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-14 Jens Rauch , Mathias Denter , Ursula Hübner

Environments such as shopping malls, airports, or hospital emergency departments often experience crowding, with many people simultaneously requesting service. Crowding is highly noisy, with sudden overcrowding "spikes". Past research has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-16 Gil Parnass , Osnat Levtzion-Korach , Renana Peres , Michael Assaf

Urgent care clinics and emergency departments around the world periodically suffer from extended wait times beyond patient expectations due to inadequate staffing levels. These delays have been linked with adverse clinical outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Paula Maddigan , Teo Susnjak

Background: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding remains a major challenge, causing delays in care and increased operational strain. Hospital management often reacts to congestion after it occurs. Machine learning predictive modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , Khalid Y. Aram , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

Emergency Departments (EDs) overcrowding is a well recognized worldwide phenomenon. The consequences range from long waiting times for visits and treatment of patients up to life-threatening health conditions. The international community is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-01 G. Fava , T. Giovannelli , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

Understanding the timing of the peak of a disease outbreak forms an important part of epidemic forecasting. In many cases, such information is essential for planning increased hospital bed demand and for designing of public health…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-27 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Lorenzo Pellis , Ian Hall , Thomas House

This paper addresses patient heterogeneity associated with prediction problems in biomedical applications. We propose a systematic hypothesis testing approach to determine the existence of patient subgroup structure and the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-08 Xu Gao , Weining Shen , Jing Ning , Ziding Feng , Jianhua Hu

Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding continues to be a public health issue as well as a patient safety issue. The underlying factors leading to ED crowding are numerous, varied, and complex. Although lack of in-hospital beds is frequently…

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a well-recognized threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Accurate forecasts of future service demand could lead to better resource management and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Jalmari Tuominen , Teemu Koivistoinen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

This paper presents a probabilistic model for reasoning about the state of a system as it changes over time, both due to exogenous and endogenous influences. Our target domain is a class of medical prediction problems that are neither so…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Steve Hanks , David Madigan , Jonathan Gavrin

Study Objective: To analyze the factors influencing Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding by examining the impacts of operational, environmental, and external variables, including weather conditions and football games. Methods: This study…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Abdulaziz Ahmed , Khalid Y Aram , Mohammed Alzeen , Orhun Vural , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency departments (EDs) often use a shared-queue setup in which physicians self-assign cases from a pool of triaged patients. We conduct a multi-method study to examine this self-assignment behavior and its effects on system…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Brett Hathaway , Evgeny Kagan , John Jones

Background: The stochastic behavior of patient arrival at an emergency department (ED) complicates the management of an ED. More than 50% of hospitals ED capacity tends to operate beyond its normal capacity and eventually fails to deliver…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Avishek Choudhury

The execution time of programs is a key element in many areas of computer science, mainly those where achieving good performance (e.g., scheduling in cloud computing) or a predictable one (e.g., meeting deadlines in embedded systems) is the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Matheus Henrique Junqueira Saldanha

Emergency evacuation of patients from a hospital can be challenging in the event of a fire. Most emergency evacuation studies are based on the assumption that pedestrians are ambulant and can egress by themselves. However, this is often not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Jaeyoung Kwak , Michael H. Lees , Wentong Cai , Ahmad Reza Pourghaderi , Marcus E. H. Ong

Emergency department (ED) crowding has been an increasing problem worldwide. Prior research has identified factors that contribute to ED crowding. However, the relationships between these remain incompletely understood. This study's…

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