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Predictive hotspot mapping is an important problem in crime prediction and control. An accurate hotspot mapping helps in appropriately targeting the available resources to manage crime in cities. With an aim to make data-driven decisions…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Karthik Sriram , Ankur Sinha , Suvashis Choudhary

Predicting ambulance demand accurately at fine time and location scales is critical for ambulance fleet management and dynamic deployment. Large-scale datasets in this setting typically exhibit complex spatio-temporal dynamics and sparsity…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-03 Zhengyi Zhou , David S. Matteson

Kernel density estimation (KDE) has become a popular method for visual analysis in various fields, such as financial risk forecasting, crime clustering, and traffic monitoring. KDE can identify high-density areas from discrete datasets.…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Yu Shao , Peng Cheng , Xiang Lian , Lei Chen , Wangze Ni , Xuemin Lin , Chen Zhang , Liping Wang

Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-20 Daniel Willimetz , Lukáš Grajciar

The exponential growth of available data has increased the need for interactive exploratory analysis. Dataset can no longer be understood through manual crawling and simple statistics. In Geographical Information Systems (GIS), the dataset…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-05-29 Erik Saule , Dinesh Panchananam , Alexander Hohl , Wenwu Tang , Eric Delmelle

We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. Our method is a spatiotemporal forecasting model combining scalable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-25 Seth Flaxman , Michael Chirico , Pau Pereira , Charles Loeffler

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is one of the most widely used nonparametric density estimation methods. The fact that it is a memory-based method, i.e., it uses the entire training data set for prediction, makes it unsuitable for most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Juan F. Osorio , Fabio A. González

While robust parameter estimation has been well studied in parametric density estimation, there has been little investigation into robust density estimation in the nonparametric setting. We present a robust version of the popular kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-18 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott

In this paper, the authors evaluate the performance of a spatial multiresolution analysis (SMA) method that behaves like a variable bandwidth kernel density estimation (KDE) method, for hazardous road segments identification (HRSI) and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-16 Samer Katicha , John Khoury , Gerardo Flintsch

In spatio-temporal point pattern analysis, one of the main statistical objectives is to estimate the first-order intensity function, i.e., the expected number of points per unit area and unit time. This estimation is usually carried out…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

With the rise of the Internet of Things, strategies for effectively processing big data are essential for discovering meaningul insights. The time series datasets produced by groups of interconnected devices contain valuable underlying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Turner Richmond , Namita Lokare , Qian Ge , Edgar Lobaton

Given a set of points $P\subset \mathbb{R}^{d}$ and a kernel $k$, the Kernel Density Estimate at a point $x\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is defined as $\mathrm{KDE}_{P}(x)=\frac{1}{|P|}\sum_{y\in P} k(x,y)$. We study the problem of designing a data…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Moses Charikar , Paris Siminelakis

We study efficient mechanisms for differentially private kernel density estimation (DP-KDE). Prior work for the Gaussian kernel described algorithms that run in time exponential in the number of dimensions $d$. This paper breaks the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Tal Wagner , Yonatan Naamad , Nina Mishra

We present a method to capture groupings of similar calls and determine their relative spatial distribution from a collection of crime record narratives. We first obtain a topic distribution for each narrative, and then propose a nearest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Jonathan Zhou , Sarah Huestis-Mitchell , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

This paper presents a new spatial-temporal nonlocal traffic flow model formulated to overcome the boundedness limitations inherent in classical local formulations. The model introduces an adaptive kernel that captures both spatial and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Animesh Biswas , Archie Huang , Shaurya Agarwal , Christopher Housholder

In this paper we develop a kernel density estimation (KDE) approach to modeling and forecasting recurrent trajectories on a compact manifold. For the purposes of this paper, a trajectory is a sequence of coordinates in a phase space defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Trevor K. Karn , Steven Petrone , Christopher Griffin

Crime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the challenging…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Cristina Kadar , Rudolf Maculan , Stefan Feuerriegel

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

As various types of crime continue to threaten public safety and economic development, predicting the occurrence of multiple types of crimes becomes increasingly vital for effective prevention measures. Although extensive efforts have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Ziyang Wu , Fan Liu , Jindong Han , Yuxuan Liang , Hao Liu

This tutorial provides a gentle introduction to kernel density estimation (KDE) and recent advances regarding confidence bands and geometric/topological features. We begin with a discussion of basic properties of KDE: the convergence rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 Yen-Chi Chen
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