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Related papers: Can Testing Ease Social Distancing Measures? Futur…

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On June 24th, Governor Cooper announced that North Carolina will not be moving into Phase 3 of its reopening process at least until July 17th. Given the recent increases in daily positive cases and hospitalizations, this decision was not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-10 Omar El Housni , Mika Sumida , Paat Rusmevichientong , Huseyin Topaloglu , Serhan Ziya

Widespread opinions and discussion exist regarding the efficiency of social distancing after crucial spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus during the actual Covid-19 pandemic. While Germany has released a federal law that prohibits any type of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-26 Franz-Josef Schmitt

There are multiple testing methods to ascertain an infection in an individual and they vary in their performances, cost and delay. Unfortunately, better performing tests are sometimes costlier and time consuming and can only be done for a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Harish Sasikumar , Manoj Varma

The COVID-19 pandemic and related restrictions forced many to work, learn, and socialize from home over the internet. There appears to be consensus that internet infrastructure in the developed world handled the resulting traffic surge…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Jessica De Oliveira Moreira , Amey Praveen Pasarkar , Wenjun Chen , Wenkai Hu , Jan Janak , Henning Schulzrinne

This paper evaluates the dynamic impact of various policies adopted by US states on the growth rates of confirmed Covid-19 cases and deaths as well as social distancing behavior measured by Google Mobility Reports, where we take into…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-21 Victor Chernozhukov , Hiroyuki Kasaha , Paul Schrimpf

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

We propose a novel testing and containment strategy in order to contain the spread of SARS-CoV2 while permitting large parts of the population to resume social and economic activity. Our approach recognises the fact that testing capacities…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Jakob Jonnerby , Philip Lazos , Edwin Lock , Francisco Marmolejo-Cossío , C. Bronk Ramsey , Meghana Shukla , Divya Sridhar

This paper is based on the observation that, during Covid-19 epidemic, the choice of which individuals should be tested has an important impact on the effectiveness of selective confinement measures. This decision problem is closely related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Matthias Pezzutto , Nicolas Bono Rossello , Luca Schenato , Emanuele Garone

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana

Six months into the pandemic and one month after the phase four reopening in New York City (NYC), restrictions are lifting, businesses and schools are reopening, but global infections are still rising. This white paper updates travel trends…

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

As a common strategy of contagious disease containment, lockdowns will inevitably weaken the economy. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic underscores the trade-off arising from public health and economic cost. An optimal lockdown policy to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

A novel Coronavirus pandemic emerged in December of 2019, causing devastating public health impact across the world. In the absence of a safe and effective vaccine or antiviral, strategies for mitigating the burden of the pandemic are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-27 Calistus N. Ngonghala , Enahoro Iboi , Steffen Eikenberry , Matthew Scotch , Chandini Raina MacIntyre , Matthew H. Bonds , Abba B. Gumel

Social distancing has been the only effective way to contain the spread of an infectious disease prior to the availability of the pharmaceutical treatment. It can lower the infection rate of the disease at the economic cost. A pandemic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Kexin Chen , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and resulting COVID-19 disease have had an unprecedented spread and continue to cause an increasing number of fatalities worldwide. While vaccines are still under development, social distancing, extensive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Calvin Tsay , Fernando Lejarza , Mark A. Stadtherr , Michael Baldea

We study equilibrium distancing during epidemics. Distancing reduces the individual's probability of getting infected but comes at a cost. It creates a single-peaked epidemic, flattens the curve and decreases the size of the epidemic. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-02 Satoshi Fukuda , Nenad Kos , Christoph Wolf

Recent re-opening policies in the US, following a period of social distancing measures, introduced a significant increase in daily COVID-19 infections, calling for a roll-back or substantial revisiting of these policies in many states. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-30 Chaoqi Yang , Ruijie Wang , Fangwei Gao , Dachun Sun , Jiawei Tang , Tarek Abdelzaher

Controlling the spread of COVID-19 - even after a licensed vaccine is available - requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc. To date, such interventions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-30 Benjamin M. Althouse , Brendan Wallace , Brendan Case , Samuel V. Scarpino , Andrew M. Berdahl , Easton R. White , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

The novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, and the disease it causes, COVID-19 was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020 by the World Health Organization. Since then, the disease has spread all over the world, with the United States becoming the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 Keshav Amla , Tarun Amla

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…