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In this paper a simple model for the evolution of the forward density of the future value of an asset is proposed. The model allows for a straightforward initial calibration to option prices and has dynamics that are consistent with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog , Johan Nykvist

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We consider the pricing of derivatives written on accumulated marks, such as weather derivatives or aggregate loss claims, using a self-exciting marked point process. The jump intensity mean-reverts between events and increases at jump…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Aqib Ahmed , Heiðar Eyjólfsson

We derived similar to Bo et al. (2010) results but in the case when the dynamics of the FX rate is driven by a general Merton jump-diffusion process. The main results of our paper are as follows: 1) formulas for the Esscher transform…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-12 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Maksym Tertychnyi , Winsor Hoang

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We model the price of a stock via a Lang\'{e}vin equation with multi-dimensional fluctuations coupled in the price and in time. We generalize previous models in that we assume that the fluctuations conditioned on the time step are compound…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-12-10 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

We establish several closed pricing formula for various path-independent payoffs, under an exponential L\'evy model driven by the Variance Gamma process. These formulas take the form of quickly convergent series and are obtained via tools…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Jean-Philippe Aguilar

This paper explores the concept of random-time subordination in modelling stock-price dynamics, and We first present results on the Laplace distribution as a Gaussian variance-mixture, in particular a more efficient volatility estimation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-17 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

In this work, we introduce a novel pricing methodology in general, possibly non-Markovian local stochastic volatility (LSV) models. We observe that by conditioning the LSV dynamics on the Brownian motion that drives the volatility, one…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Peter Bank , Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Luca Pelizzari

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

Travel time derivatives are financial instruments that derive their value from road travel times, serving as an underlying asset that cannot be directly traded. Within the transportation domain, these derivatives are proposed as a more…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-25 Ke Wan , Alain Kornhauser

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process {\xi} with memory as e.g. a L\'evy semi-stationary process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Fred Espen Benth , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential Levy-type martingale subject to default. This class of models allows for local volatility, local default intensity, and a locally dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

A new framework for pricing the European currency option is developed in the case where the spot exchange rate fellows a time-changed fractional Brownian motion. An analytic formula for pricing European foreign currency option is proposed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Foad Shokrollahi

Based on forward curves modelled as Hilbert-space valued processes, we analyse the pricing of various options relevant in energy markets. In particular, we connect empirical evidence about energy forward prices known from the literature to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Fred Espen Benth , Paul Krühner

We develop a general approach to estimating the derivative of a function-valued parameter $\theta_o(u)$ that is identified for every value of $u$ as the solution to a moment condition. This setup in particular covers many interesting models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Christoph Rothe , Dominik Wied

We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential L\'evy-type martingale. This class of models allows for a local volatility, local default intensity and a locally dependent L\'evy measure.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-02 Anastasia Borovykh , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Andrea Pascucci

In the present paper we present a finite element approach for option pricing in the framework of a well-known stochastic volatility model with jumps, the Bates model. In this model the asset log-returns are assumed to follow a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-17 Edie Miglio , Carlo Sgarra