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Machine-learning algorithms have gained popularity in recent years in the field of ecological modeling due to their promising results in predictive performance of classification problems. While the application of such algorithms has been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Patrick Schratz , Jannes Muenchow , Eugenia Iturritxa , Jakob Richter , Alexander Brenning

Two key tasks in high-dimensional regularized regression are tuning the regularization strength for accurate predictions and estimating the out-of-sample risk. It is known that the standard approach -- $k$-fold cross-validation -- is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Kevin Luo , Yufan Li , Pragya Sur

In spite of considerable practical importance, current algorithmic fairness literature lacks technical methods to account for underlying geographic dependency while evaluating or mitigating bias issues for spatial data. We initiate the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-31 Subhabrata Majumdar , Cheryl Flynn , Ritwik Mitra

The label-free model evaluation aims to predict the model performance on various test sets without relying on ground truths. The main challenge of this task is the absence of labels in the test data, unlike in classical supervised model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Shuyu Miao , Lin Zheng , Jingjing Liu , and Hong Jin

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

We consider the scenario where one observes an outcome variable and sets of features from multiple assays, all measured on the same set of samples. One approach that has been proposed for dealing with this type of data is ``sparse multiple…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-24 Samuel M. Gross , Robert Tibshirani

As a regression technique in spatial statistics, the spatiotemporally varying coefficient model (STVC) is an important tool for discovering nonstationary and interpretable response-covariate associations over both space and time. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-17 Mengying Lei , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

Existing self-supervised learning (SSL) methods primarily learn object-invariant representations but often neglect the spatial structure and relationships among object parts. To address this limitation, we introduce Spatial Prediction (SP),…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yang Shen , Yusen Cai , Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik , Qing Lin , Mengmi Zhang

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Vovk (2015) introduced cross-conformal prediction, a modification of split conformal designed to improve the width of prediction sets. The method, when trained with a miscoverage rate equal to $\alpha$ and $n \gg K$, ensures a marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Economic models produce moment inequalities, which can be used to form tests of the true parameters. Confidence sets (CS) of the true parameters are derived by inverting these tests. However, they often lack analytical expressions,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-14 Lujie Zhou

Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations, especially in the presence of complex and heterogeneous datasets, remains a core challenge in spatial statistics. Traditional approaches like Kriging rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Many varieties of cross validation would be statistically appealing for the estimation of smoothing and other penalized regression hyperparameters, were it not for the high cost of evaluating such criteria. Here it is shown how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Simon N. Wood

Motivated by recent work on studying massive imaging data in various neuroimaging studies, we propose a novel spatially varying coefficient model (SVCM) to spatially model the varying association between imaging measures in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Hongtu Zhu , Jianqing Fan , Linglong Kong

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator or Lasso is one of the widely used regularization methods in regression. Statisticians usually implement Lasso in practice by choosing the penalty parameter in a data-dependent way, the most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

Recent years have seen substantial advances in our understanding of high-dimensional ridge regression, but existing theories assume that training examples are independent. By leveraging techniques from random matrix theory and free…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-06 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Support vector machine (SVM) is a well-known statistical technique for classification problems in machine learning and other fields. An important question for SVM is the selection of covariates (or features) for the model. Many studies have…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Jiahui Zou , Chaoxia Yuan , Xinyu Zhang , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton
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