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We present a new microscopic stochastic model for an ensemble of interacting investors that buy and sell stocks in discrete time steps via limit orders based on individual forecasts about the price of the stock. These orders determine the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 C. Busshaus , H. Rieger

We propose that predictability is a prerequisite for profitability on financial markets. We look at ways to measure predictability of price changes using information theoretic approach and employ them on all historical data available for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-13 Paweł Fiedor

This paper deals with a fundamental subject that has seldom been addressed in recent years, that of market impact in the options market. Our analysis is based on a proprietary database of metaorders-large orders that are split into smaller…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Emilio Said , Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed , Damien Thillou , Jean-Jacques Rabeyrin , Frédéric Abergel

This paper studies learning in markets with aggregate uncertainty about whether trade is efficient. A long-lived seller offers prices to buyers, who are short-lived and arrive according to a Poisson process. A hidden state determines…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Justus Preusser

Recent technological developments have changed the fundamental ways stock markets function, bringing regulatory instances to assess the benefits of these developments. In parallel, the ongoing machine learning revolution and its multiple…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-09 Johann Lussange , Boris Gutkin

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Ban Zheng , Eric Moulines , Frédéric Abergel

We empirically study the market impact of trading orders. We are specifically interested in large trading orders that are executed incrementally, which we call hidden orders. These are reconstructed based on information about market member…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Esteban Moro , Javier Vicente , Luis G. Moyano , Austin Gerig , J. Doyne Farmer , Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

In two-player games on graphs, the players move a token through a graph to produce an infinite path, which determines the winner of the game. Such games are central in formal methods since they model the interaction between a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Milad Aghajohari , Guy Avni , Thomas A. Henzinger

This article considers the pricing and hedging of a call option when liquidity matters, that is, either for a large nominal or for an illiquid underlying asset. In practice, as opposed to the classical assumptions of a price-taking agent in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-06 Olivier Guéant , Jiang Pu

Equity auctions display several distinctive characteristics in contrast to continuous trading. As the auction time approaches, the rate of events accelerates causing a substantial liquidity buildup around the indicative price. This, in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-05 Mohammed Salek , Damien Challet , Ioane Muni Toke

We look at discovering the impact of market microstructure on equitability for market participants at public exchanges such as the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ. Are these environments equitable venues for low-frequency participants…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

This paper defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty of observations of macroeconomic variables that depend on statistical moments and correlations of random values and volumes of market trades. Any econometric assessments of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-08 Victor Olkhov

We study the optimal order placement strategy with the presence of a liquidity cost. In this problem, a stock trader wishes to clear her large inventory by a predetermined time horizon $T$. A trader uses both limit and market orders, and a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-24 Hyoeun Lee , Kiseop Lee

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-13 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Ismail Iyigunler , Rodrigo Rodriguez

Flexibility is a cornerstone of operations management, crucial to hedge stochasticity in product demands, service requirements, and resource allocation. In two-sided platforms, flexibility is also two-sided and can be viewed as the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Daniel Freund , Sébastien Martin , Jiayu Kamessi Zhao

In the present work we introduce a novel multi-agent model with the aim to reproduce the dynamics of a double auction market at microscopic time scale through a faithful simulation of the matching mechanics in the limit order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Marco Bartolozzi

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

We examine trade-offs among stakeholders in ad auctions. Our metrics are the revenue for the utility of the auctioneer, the number of clicks for the utility of the users and the welfare for the utility of the advertisers. We show how to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-22 Yoram Bachrach , Sofia Ceppi , Ian A. Kash , Peter Key , David Kurokawa

Using high-quality data, we report several statistical regularities of equity auctions in the Paris stock exchange. First, the average order book density is linear around the auction price at the time of auction clearing and has a large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Mohammed Salek , Damien Challet , Ioane Muni Toke

It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 Ioane Muni Toke