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Capturing complex dependence structures between outcome variables (e.g., study endpoints) is of high relevance in contemporary biomedical data problems and medical research. Distributional copula regression provides a flexible tool to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Nicolai Hans , Nadja Klein , Florian Faschingbauer , Michael Schneider , Andreas Mayr

While it is an important problem to identify the existence of causal associations between two components of a multivariate time series, a topic addressed in Runge et al. (2012), it is even more important to assess the strength of their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-15 Jakob Runge , Jobst Heitzig , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Causal discovery methods seek to identify causal relations between random variables from purely observational data, as opposed to actively collected experimental data where an experimenter intervenes on a subset of correlates. One of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Samir Wadhwa , Roy Dong

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

The concept of independence plays a crucial role in probability theory and has been the subject of extensive research in recent years. Numerous approaches have been proposed to test for independence; however, most of them address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Bogdan Ćmiel , Bartłomiej Gibas

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

Conditional independence (CI) is central to causal inference, feature selection, and graphical modeling, yet it is untestable in many settings without additional assumptions. Existing CI tests often rely on restrictive structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Alek Frohlich , Vladimir Kostic , Karim Lounici , Daniel Perazzo , Massimiliano Pontil

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

Decision models can combine information from different sources to simulate the long-term consequences of alternative strategies in the presence of uncertainty. A cohort state-transition model (cSTM) is a decision model commonly used in…

We investigate causal inference in the asymptotic regime as the number of variables approaches infinity using an information-theoretic framework. We define structural entropy of a causal model in terms of its description complexity measured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Sridhar Mahadevan

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

Copula modeling has gained much attention in many fields recently with the advantage of separating dependence structure from marginal distributions. In real data, however, serious ties are often present in one or multiple margins, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Yan Li , Yang Li , Yichen Qin , Jun Yan

Conformal Prediction (CP) stands out as a robust framework for uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for ensuring the reliability of predictions. However, common CP methods heavily rely on data exchangeability, a condition often…

Scientific practice typically involves repeatedly studying a system, each time trying to unravel a different perspective. In each study, the scientist may take measurements under different experimental conditions (interventions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-11 Sofia Triantafillou , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Copulas are functions that describe dependence structures of random vectors, without describing their univariate marginals. In statistics, the separation is sometimes useful, the quality and/or quantity of available information on these two…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-14 Oskar Laverny , Santiago Jimenez

The design of online algorithms for matching markets and revenue management settings is usually bound by the assumption that the demand process is formed by a fixed-length sequence of queries with unknown types, each drawn independently.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ali Aouad , Will Ma

Verification and validation of fully automated vehicles is linked to an almost intractable challenge of reflecting the real world with all its interactions in a virtual environment. Influential stochastic parameters need to be extracted…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Katrin Lotto , Thomas Nagler , Mladjan Radic

This paper introduces the \textit{weighted partial copula} function for testing conditional independence. The proposed test procedure results from these two ingredients: (i) the test statistic is an explicit Cramer-von Mises transformation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Pascal Bianchi , Kevin Elgui , François Portier