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Related papers: Travel Time Prediction using Tree-Based Ensembles

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This paper proposes a novel approach to predict and determine whether the average taxi- out time at an airport will exceed a pre-defined threshold within the next hour of operations. Prior work in this domain has focused exclusively on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Erik Vargo , Alex Tien , Arian Jafari

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) is a very important factor in the transportation system. It has attracted increasing attentions and has been widely used as a basic service in navigation systems and intelligent transportation systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 YuRui Huang , Jie Zhang , HengDa Bao , Yang Yang , Jian Yang

We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the short-term prediction of human mobility. This novel approach pairs the Exponential Weights forecaster with a very large ensemble of experts. The experts are individual sequence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-23 Bartosz Hawelka , Izabela Sitko , Pavlos Kazakopoulos , Euro Beinat

The main contribution reported in the paper is a novel paradigm through which mobile cellular traffic forecasting is made substantially more accurate. Specifically, by incorporating freely available road metrics we characterise the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Natalia Vassileva Vesselinova

Intelligent transportation systems (ITS) still have a hard time accurately predicting traffic in cities, especially in big, multimodal settings with complicated spatiotemporal dynamics. This paper presents HybridST, a hybrid architecture…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Ismail Zrigui , Samira Khoulji , Mohamed Larbi Kerkeb

Understanding and learning the characteristics of network paths has been of particular interest for decades and has led to several successful applications. Such analysis becomes challenging for urban networks as their size and complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-18 Alessio Pagani , Abhinav Mehrotra , Mirco Musolesi

This paper systematically explores the advancements in adaptive trip route planning and travel time estimation (TTE) through Artificial Intelligence (AI). With the increasing complexity of urban transportation systems, traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Nikil Jayasuriya , Deshan Sumanathilaka

Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Charul , Pravesh Biyani

Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Pouria Golshanrad , Hamid Mahini , Behnam Bahrak

With the rise of big data technologies, many smart transportation applications have been rapidly developed in recent years including bus arrival time predictions. This type of applications help passengers to plan trips more efficiently…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Dairui Liu , Jingxiang Sun , Shen Wang

In recent years, studying and predicting alternative mobility (e.g., sharing services) patterns in urban environments has become increasingly important as accurate and timely information on current and future vehicle flows can successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Stefano Fiorini , Michele Ciavotta , Andrea Maurino

Trajectory prediction of vehicles in city-scale road networks is of great importance to various location-based applications such as vehicle navigation, traffic management, and location-based recommendations. Existing methods typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yuebing Liang , Zhan Zhao

Future trajectories play an important role across domains such as autonomous driving, hurricane forecasting, and epidemic modeling, where practitioners commonly generate ensemble paths by sampling probabilistic models or leveraging multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Ruipu Li , Daniel Menacho , Alexander Rodríguez

We develop a new framework for branched transport between probability measures which are allowed to vary in time. This framework can be used to model problems where the underlying transportation network displays a branched structure, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Jun Kitagawa , Cecilia Mikat

We develop theoretical foundations and practical algorithms for vehicle routing with time-dependent travel times. We also provide new benchmark instances and experimental results. First, we study basic operations on piecewise linear arrival…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jannis Blauth , Stephan Held , Dirk Müller , Niklas Schlomberg , Vera Traub , Thorben Tröbst , Jens Vygen

Transportation planning depends on predictions of the travel times between loading and unloading locations. While accurate techniques exist for making deterministic predictions of travel times based on real-world data, making stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-22 Rodrigo Goncalves , Rui J. de Almeida , Remco M. Dijkman

This paper considers the dispatching of large-scale real-time ride-sharing systems to address congestion issues faced by many cities. The goal is to serve all customers (service guarantees) with a small number of vehicles while minimizing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Connor Riley , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Enpeng Yuan

Urban traffic anomalies, such as collisions and disruptions, threaten the safety, efficiency, and sustainability of transportation systems. In this paper, we present a simulation-based framework for modeling, detecting, and predicting such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Tony Kinchen , Ting Bai , Nishanth Venkatesh S. , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Two-thirds of the people who buy a new car prefer to use a substitute instead of the built-in navigation system. However, for many applications, knowledge about a user's intended destination and route is crucial. For example, suggestions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Patrick Ebel , Ibrahim Emre Göl , Christoph Lingenfelder , Andreas Vogelsang

Understanding the behavior of road users is of vital importance for the development of trajectory prediction systems. In this context, the latest advances have focused on recurrent structures, establishing the social interaction between the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-09 A. Quintanar , D. Fernández-Llorca , I. Parra , R. Izquierdo , M. A. Sotelo
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