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Related papers: Travel Time Prediction using Tree-Based Ensembles

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Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

Increasing popularity of mobile route planning applications based on GPS technology provides opportunities for collecting traffic data in urban environments. One of the main challenges for travel time estimation and prediction in such a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Indre Zliobaite , Mikhail Khokhlov

The increased availability of large-scale trajectory data around the world provides rich information for the study of urban dynamics. For example, New York City Taxi Limousine Commission regularly releases source-destination information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Hongjian Wang , Zhenhui Li , Yu-Hsuan Kuo , Dan Kifer

Disseminating accurate travel time information to road users helps achieve traffic equilibrium and reduce traffic congestion. The deployment of Connected Vehicles technology will provide unique opportunities for the implementation of travel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Saleh Mousa , Sherif Ishak

Estimating temporal patterns in travel times along road segments in urban settings is of central importance to traffic engineers and city planners. In this work, we propose a methodology to leverage coarse-grained and aggregated travel time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-17 Kelsey Maass , Arun V Sathanur , Arif Khan , Robert Rallo

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda

Accurately predicting travel time information can be helpful for travelers. This study proposes a framework for predicting network-level travel time index (TTI) using machine learning models. A case study was performed on more than 50,000…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yufei Ai , Yao Yu , Wenjing Pu , Lu Gao , Yihao Ren

In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-13 Ishan Jindal , Tony , Qin , Xuewen Chen , Matthew Nokleby , Jieping Ye

Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep…

Accurate time-series forecasting is vital for numerous areas of application such as transportation, energy, finance, economics, etc. However, while modern techniques are able to explore large sets of temporal data to build forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Filipe Rodrigues , Ioulia Markou , Francisco Pereira

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

We address the problem of simultaneously estimating arc travel times in a network \emph{and} parameters of route choice models for strategic and tactical network planning purposes. Hitherto, these interdependent tasks have been approached…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Sobhan Mohammadpour , Emma Frejinger

To compare alternative taxi schedules and to compute them, as well as to provide insights into an upcoming taxi trip to drivers and passengers, the duration of a trip or its Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is predicted. To reach a high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Sören Schleibaum , Jörg P. Müller , Monika Sester

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

This work explores the application of ensemble modeling to the multidimensional regression problem of trajectory prediction for vehicles in urban environments. As newer and bigger state-of-the-art prediction models for autonomous driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Divya Thuremella , Yi Yang , Simon Wanna , Lars Kunze , Daniele De Martini

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam

Due to the rapid development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, many online web apps (e.g., Google Map and Uber) estimate the travel time of trajectory data collected by mobile devices. However, in reality, complex factors, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Zipei Fan , Jiyuan Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski
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