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Deep learning is increasingly being applied in safety-critical domains. For these scenarios it is important to know the level of uncertainty in a model's prediction to ensure appropriate decisions are made by the system. Deep ensembles are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

The solution of multistage stochastic linear problems (MSLP) represents a challenge for many application areas. Long-term hydrothermal dispatch planning (LHDP) materializes this challenge in a real-world problem that affects electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Felipe Nazare , Alexandre Street

Recoverable robust optimization is a multi-stage approach, where it is possible to adjust a first-stage solution after the uncertain cost scenario is revealed. We analyze this approach for a class of selection problems. The aim is to choose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl , Lasse Wulf

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Machine Learning (ML) research has focused on maximizing the accuracy of predictive tasks. ML models, however, are increasingly more complex, resource intensive, and costlier to deploy in resource-constrained environments. These issues are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Yanbo Xu , Alind Khare , Glenn Matlin , Monish Ramadoss , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran , Chao Zhang , Alexey Tumanov

We introduce Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) as a new paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty that combines aspects of multistage stochastic programming and conditional stochastic optimization. MCCO minimizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Buse Şen , Yifan Hu , Daniel Kuhn

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Qing Jin , Angelos Georghiou , Phebe Vayanos , Grani A. Hanasusanto

This paper presents a confidence level-based distributionally information gap decision theory (CL-DIGDT) framework for the two-stage robust optimal operation of distribution networks, aiming at deriving an optimal operational scheme capable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-01 Zhisheng Xiong , Bo Zeng , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Day-ahead scheduling of electricity generation or unit commitment is an important and challenging optimization problem in power systems. Variability in net load arising from the increasing penetration of renewable technologies have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-06 Ali Irfan Mahmutogullari , Shabbir Ahmed , Ozlem Cavus , M. Selim Akturk

This paper presents a novel algorithmic study with extensive numerical experiments of distributionally robust multistage convex optimization (DR-MCO). Following the previous work on dual dynamic programming (DDP) algorithmic framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shixuan Zhang , Xu Andy Sun

We consider a general class of two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems where the ambiguity set is constrained by fixed marginal probability laws that are not necessarily discrete. We derive primal and dual formulations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Ariel Neufeld , Qikun Xiang

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

Rather than discussing the isolated merits of a nominative theory of uncertainty, this paper focuses on a class of problems, referred to as Dynamic Classification Problem (DCP), which requires the integration of many theories, including a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Piero P. Bonissone

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

In robust optimization one seeks to make a decision under uncertainty, where the goal is to find the solution with the best worst-case performance. The set of possible realizations of the uncertain data is described by a so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Immanuel Bomze , Markus Gabl

The study of optimal control problems under uncertainty plays an important role in scientific numerical simulations. This class of optimization problems is strongly utilized in engineering, biology and finance. In this paper, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Caroline Geiersbach , Teresa Scarinci

Nonconvex and nonsmooth optimization problems are frequently encountered in much of statistics, business, science and engineering, but they are not yet widely recognized as a technology in the sense of scalability. A reason for this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Bo Jiang , Tianyi Lin , Shiqian Ma , Shuzhong Zhang

With the emergence of precision medicine, estimating optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) has attracted tremendous attention in many scientific areas. Most existing literature has focused on finding optimal IDRs that can maximize…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Zhengling Qi , Jong-Shi Pang , Yufeng Liu

Multistage stochastic programming deals with operational and planning problems that involve a sequence of decisions over time while responding to realizations that are uncertain. Algorithms designed to address multistage stochastic linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Harsha Gangammanavar , Suvrajeet Sen

In domains such as finance, healthcare, and robotics, managing worst-case scenarios is critical, as failure to do so can lead to catastrophic outcomes. Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DRL) provides a natural framework to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Mehrdad Moghimi , Hyejin Ku