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Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

From the climate system to the effect of the internet on society, chaotic systems appear to have a significant role in our future. Here a method of statistical learning for a class of chaotic systems is described along with underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-26 Michael LuValle

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork

In this paper, a novel uncertain fractional-orders and parameters' inversion mechanism via the differential evolution algorithms (DE) with a general mathematical model is proposed for non-commensurate and hyper fractional chaotic systems.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-09-10 Fei Gao , Feng-xia Fei , Qian Xu , Yan-fang Deng , Yi-bo Qi

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian nonlinear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) under model uncertainty. Specifically, we consider inverse problems in which, in addition to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Alen Alexanderian , Ruanui Nicholson , Noemi Petra

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

Bayesian filtering deals with computing the posterior distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamic system given noisy observations. In this paper, motivated by applications in counter-adversarial systems, we consider the following…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

In various fields of natural science, the chaotic systems of differential equations are considered more than 50 years. The correct prediction of the behaviour of solutions of dynamical model equations is important in understanding of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Alexander N. Pchelintsev

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

Chaotic behavior in dynamical systems poses a significant challenge in trajectory control, traditionally relying on computationally intensive physical models. We present a machine learning-based algorithm to compute the minimum control…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-18 David Valle , Rubén Capeáns , Alexandre Wagemakers , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

In this work, we consider an inverse potential problem in the parabolic equation, where the unknown potential is a space-dependent function and the used measurement is the final time data. The unknown potential in this inverse problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Mengmeng Zhang , Zhidong Zhang

The identification of the governing equations of chaotic dynamical systems from data has recently emerged as a hot topic. While the seminal work by Brunton et al. reported proof-of-concepts for idealized observation setting for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

The forward problems of pattern formation have been greatly empowered by extensive theoretical studies and simulations, however, the inverse problem is less well understood. It remains unclear how accurately one can use images of pattern…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Hongbo Zhao , Richard D. Braatz , Martin Z. Bazant

We present a parametric deterministic formulation of Bayesian inverse problems with input parameter from infinite dimensional, separable Banach spaces. In this formulation, the forward problems are parametric, deterministic elliptic partial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Ch. Schwab , A. M. Stuart

We present a new approach to the electromagnetic inverse problem that explicitly addresses the ambiguity associated with its ill-posed character. Rather than calculating a single ``best'' solution according to some criterion, our approach…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David M. Schmidt , John S. George , C. C. Wood

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny