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In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a versatile and popular method in Bayesian Machine Learning. A common modification are Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes (SVGPs) which are well suited to deal with large datasets. While GPs allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Sarem Seitz

Gaussian process (GP) emulators have become essential tools for approximating complex simulators, significantly reducing computational demands in optimization, sensitivity analysis, and model calibration. While traditional GP emulators…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-26 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Generalized Gaussian processes (GGPs) are highly flexible models that combine latent GPs with potentially non-Gaussian likelihoods from the exponential family. GGPs can be used in a variety of settings, including GP classification,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Daniel Zilber , Matthias Katzfuss

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for reasoning over functions. Despite appealing theory, its superlinear computational and memory complexities have presented a long-standing challenge. State-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugh Salimbeni , Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots , Marc Deisenroth

Gaussian process regression can flexibly represent the posterior distribution of an interest parameter given sufficient information on the likelihood. However, in some cases, we have little knowledge regarding the probability model. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Yuta Shikuri

In this paper we introduce a novel model for Gaussian process (GP) regression in the fully Bayesian setting. Motivated by the ideas of sparsification, localization and Bayesian additive modeling, our model is built around a recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hengrui Luo , Giovanni Nattino , Matthew T. Pratola

Gaussian processes (GP) are powerful tools for probabilistic modeling purposes. They can be used to define prior distributions over latent functions in hierarchical Bayesian models. The prior over functions is defined implicitly by the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-16 Jarno Vanhatalo , Jaakko Riihimäki , Jouni Hartikainen , Pasi Jylänki , Ville Tolvanen , Aki Vehtari

In this paper we introduce a novel framework for making exact nonparametric Bayesian inference on latent functions, that is particularly suitable for Big Data tasks. Firstly, we introduce a class of stochastic processes we refer to as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-22 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

We study preferential Bayesian optimization (BO) where reliable feedback is limited to pairwise comparison called duels. An important challenge in preferential BO, which uses the preferential Gaussian process (GP) model to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Shion Takeno , Masahiro Nomura , Masayuki Karasuyama

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

The Gaussian process (GP) model, which has been extensively applied as priors of functions, has demonstrated excellent performance. The specification of a large number of parameters affects the computational efficiency and the feasibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-13 Shisheng Cui , Chia-Jung Chang

Data-driven Model Predictive Control (MPC), where the system model is learned from data with machine learning, has recently gained increasing interests in the control community. Gaussian Processes (GP), as a type of statistical models, are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Truong X. Nghiem

We propose a representation of Gaussian processes (GPs) based on powers of the integral operator defined by a kernel function, we call these stochastic processes integral Gaussian processes (IGPs). Sample paths from IGPs are functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-08 Zilong Tan , Sayan Mukherjee
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