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This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

We address the issue of recovering the structure of large sparse directed acyclic graphs from noisy observations of the system. We propose a novel procedure based on a specific formulation of the l1-norm regularized maximum likelihood,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Magali Champion , Victor Picheny , Matthieu Vignes

In this work, we consider, in a general setting, multiparameter multidimensional Markov processes that are time-changed by an independent additive subordinator. By extending Phillips theorem, we show that the resulting process is a Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Alessandro Mutti , Patrizia Semeraro

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of bounded variation is introduced as a solution of an analogue of the Langevin equation with an integrated telegraph process replacing a Brownian motion. There is an interval $I$ such that the process starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Nikita Ratanov

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

We study the linearization of a discrete transportation distance between probability distributions on finite weighted graphs originally due to Maas (``Gradient flows of the entropy for finite {M}arkov chains,'' J. Funct. Anal. 261(8), 2011)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-09 Sawyer Robertson , Zhengchao Wan , Alexander Cloninger

We propose a parsimonious stochastic model for characterising the distributional and temporal properties of rainfall. The model is based on an integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the Hougaard L\'evy process. We derive properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

Many real-world systems, such as moving planets, can be considered as multi-agent dynamic systems, where objects interact with each other and co-evolve along with the time. Such dynamics is usually difficult to capture, and understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Zijie Huang , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

We present a method to control gonality of nonarchimedean curves based on graph theory. Let k denote a complete nonarchimedean valued field. We first prove a lower bound for the gonality of a curve over the algebraic closure of k in terms…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Gunther Cornelissen , Fumiharu Kato , Janne Kool

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) provide a compact and flexible framework to model very complex real-life phenomena. They combine the probability theory which deals with uncertainty and logical structure represented by a graph which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Maryia Shpak

Statistical network modeling has focused on representing the graph as a discrete structure, namely the adjacency matrix, and considering the exchangeability of this array. In such cases, the Aldous-Hoover representation theorem (Aldous,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 François Caron , Emily B. Fox

Formation mechanisms are fundamental to the study of complex networks, but learning them from observations is challenging. In real-world domains, one often has access only to the final constructed graph, instead of the full construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Rakshit Trivedi , Jiachen Yang , Hongyuan Zha

We develop efficient methods for simulating processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type related to the class of $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable ($\ts$) distributions. Our results hold for both the univariate and multivariate cases and we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Michael Grabchak , Piergiacomo Sabino

Distributional properties -including Laplace transforms- of integrals of Markov processes received a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we complete existing results in several ways. First, we provide the analytical solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-09 Frédéric Vrins

We consider a dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph (ERRG) on $n$ vertices in which each edge switches on at rate $\lambda$ and switches off at rate $\mu$, independently of other edges. The focus is on the analysis of the evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Aria Ahari , Larbi Alili , Massimiliano Tamborrino

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process plays a major role in the analysis of the evolution of phenotypic traits along phylogenies. The standard OU process includes drift and stabilizing selection and assumes that species evolve independently.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Sylvain Glémin , Ingemar Kaj , Martin Lascoux
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