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We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

This paper considers the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from the observation of all or a subset of its entries in the presence of Poisson noise. When we observe all entries, this is a problem of matrix denoising; when we observe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-22 Andrew D. McRae , Mark A. Davenport

Positive semi-definite matrices commonly occur as normal matrices of least squares problems in statistics or as kernel matrices in machine learning and approximation theory. They are typically large and dense. Thus algorithms to solve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Markus Hegland , Frank deHoog

We study admissibility of a subclass of generalized Bayes estimators of a multivariate normal vector when the variance is unknown, under scaled quadratic loss. Minimaxity is also established for certain of these estimators.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

An incoherent low-rank matrix can be efficiently reconstructed after observing a few of its entries at random, and then solving a convex program that minimizes the nuclear norm. In many applications, in addition to these entries,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Armin Eftekhari , Dehui Yang , Michael B. Wakin

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang

The matrix completion problem consists in reconstructing a matrix from a sample of entries, possibly observed with noise. A popular class of estimator, known as nuclear norm penalized estimators, are based on minimizing the sum of a data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Jean Lafond

Perturbation theory is developed to analyze the impact of noise on data and has been an essential part of numerical analysis. Recently, it has played an important role in designing and analyzing matrix algorithms. One of the most useful…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Abhinav Bhardwaj , Van Vu

Low-rank matrix completion concerns the problem of estimating unobserved entries in a matrix using a sparse set of observed entries. We consider the non-uniform setting where the observed entries are sampled with highly varying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-04 Xumei Xi , Christina Lee Yu , Yudong Chen

This paper deals with an improvement of the "a-priori stability bounds" on the variation of the action variables and on the stability time obtained from a given Birkhoff normal form around the elliptic equilibrium point of an Hamiltonian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Massimiliano Guzzo , Chiara Caracciolo , Gabriella Pinzari

We present a new version of the truncated harmonic mean estimator (THAMES) for univariate or multivariate mixture models. The estimator computes the marginal likelihood from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samples, is consistent,…

In this note, we define a Gaussian probability distribution over matrices. We prove some useful properties of this distribution, namely, the fact that marginalization, conditioning, and affine transformations preserve the matrix Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Shane Barratt

We develop new tools in the theory of nonlinear random matrices and apply them to study the performance of the Sum of Squares (SoS) hierarchy on average-case problems. The SoS hierarchy is a powerful optimization technique that has achieved…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Goutham Rajendran

The problem of low-rank matrix completion with heterogeneous and sub-exponential (as opposed to homogeneous and Gaussian) noise is particularly relevant to a number of applications in modern commerce. Examples include panel sales data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Vivek F. Farias , Andrew A. Li , Tianyi Peng

Under a standard assumption in complexity theory (NP not in P/poly), we demonstrate a gap between the minimax prediction risk for sparse linear regression that can be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, and that achieved by optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We consider the problem of estimating covariance and precision matrices, and their associated discriminant coefficients, from normal data when the rank of the covariance matrix is strictly smaller than its dimension and the available sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

We consider the task of estimating a low-rank matrix from non-linear and noisy observations. We prove a strong universality result showing that Bayes-optimal performances are characterized by an equivalent Gaussian model with an effective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Pierre Mergny , Justin Ko , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Consider the task of matrix estimation in which a dataset $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times m}$ is observed with sparsity $p$, and we would like to estimate $\mathbb{E}[X]$, where $\mathbb{E}[X_{ui}] = f(\alpha_u, \beta_i)$ for some Holder smooth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Christina Lee Yu

We propose a general error analysis related to the low-rank approximation of a given real matrix in both the spectral and Frobenius norms. First, we derive deterministic error bounds that hold with some minimal assumptions. Second, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Youssef Diouane , Selime Gürol , Alexandre Scotto Di Perrotolo , Xavier Vasseur