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Whether the fate of our species can be forecast from its past has been the topic of considerable controversy. One refutation of the so-called Doomsday Argument is based on the premise that we are more likely to exist in a universe…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-10 Fergus Simpson

Naturalness problems such as the hierarchy problem and the origin of dark energy remain significant challenges in modern cosmology. This paper develops a rigorous mathematical framework where each observer defines their own universe, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-05-13 Ruby P. Madeimy

The assumption that we are typical observers plays a core role in attempts to make multiverse theories empirically testable. A widely shared worry about this assumption is that it suffers from systematic ambiguity concerning the reference…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2017-07-17 Simon Friederich

According to our current conception of physics, any valid physical theory is supposed to describe the objective evolution of a unique external world. However, this condition is challenged by quantum theory, which suggests that physical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-21 Markus P. Mueller

If the human race comes to an end relatively shortly, then we have been born at a fairly typical time in history of humanity. On the other hand, if humanity lasts for much longer and trillions of people eventually exist, then we have been…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Ken D. Olum

Typicality arguments attempt to use the Copernican Principle to draw conclusions about the cosmos and presently unknown conscious beings within it, including extraterrestrial intelligences (ETI). The most notorious is the Doomsday Argument,…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2024-05-09 Brian C. Lacki

I consider the puzzles arising from four interrelated problems involving `anthropic' reasoning, and in particular the `Self-Sampling Assumption' (SSA) - that one should reason as if one were randomly chosen from the set of all observers in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

The discovery of a small cosmological constant has stimulated interest in the measure problem. One should expect to be a typical observer, but defining such a thing is difficult in the vastness of an eternally inflating universe. We propose…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-01-12 Travis Garrett

In the modern quantum mechanics of cosmology observers are physical systems within the universe. They have no preferred role in the formulation of the theory nor in its predictions of third person probabilities of what occurs. However,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-01-18 James Hartle , Thomas Hertog

In this work, we consider a binary hypothesis testing problem involving a group of human decision-makers. Due to the nature of human behavior, each human decision-maker observes the phenomenon of interest sequentially up to a random length…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-26 Nandan Sriranga , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney

We consider models for inference which involve observers which may have multiple copies, such as in the Sleeping Beauty problem. We establish a framework for describing these problems on a probability space satisfying Kolmogorov's axioms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Martin T. Barlow

Observational astronomy is plagued with selection effects that must be taken into account when interpreting data from astronomical surveys. Because of the physical limitations of observing time and instrument sensitivity, datasets are…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2023-02-22 Sarah C. Gallagher , Chris Smeenk

Even when completely and consistently formulated, a fundamental theory of physics and cosmological boundary conditions may not give unambiguous and unique predictions for the universe we observe; indeed inflation, string/M theory, and…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-07 Anthony Aguirre , Max Tegmark

The fundamental laws and constants of our universe seem to be finely tuned for life. The various multiverse hypotheses are popular explanations for the fine tuning. This paper reviews the four main suggestions on inference in the presence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-03 V. Palonen

Human beings do not observe the world from the outside, but rather are fully embedded in it. The sciences, however, often give the observer both a "god's eye" perspective and substantial a~priori knowledge. Motivated by W. Ross Ashby's…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-11 Chris Fields

In cosmology, we would like to explain our observations and predict future observations from theories of the entire universe. Such cosmological theories make ontological assumptions of what entities exist and what their properties and…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-12-25 Don N. Page

A lot of real-world engineering problems represent dynamicity with nests of nonlinearities due to highly complex network of exponential functions or large number of differential equations interacting together. Such search spaces are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Mojtaba Moattari , Emad Roshandel , Shima Kamyab , Zohreh Azimifar

Founding our analysis on the Geneva-Brussels approach to the foundations of physics, we provide a clarification and classification of the key concept of observation. An entity can be observed with or without a scope. In the second case, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-03-19 Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi

The observer effect in quantum physics states that observation inevitably influences the system being observed. This work introduces an epistemic framework that treats the observer as an integral part of sensory information processing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Johan F. Hoorn , Johnny K. W. Ho

The concept of {\em complexity} (as a quantity) has been plagued by numerous contradictory and confusing definitions. By explicitly recognising a role for the observer of a system, an observer that attaches meaning to data about the system,…

Popular Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Russell K. Standish
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