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The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Spatio-temporal point process models play a central role in the analysis of spatially distributed systems in several disciplines. Yet, scalable inference remains computa- tionally challenging both due to the high resolution modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-07 Botond Cseke , Andrew Zammit Mangion , Tom Heskes , Guido Sanguinetti

1 - Spatial confounding is a phenomenon that has been studied extensively in recent years in the statistical literature to describe and mitigate apparent inconsistencies between the results obtained by regression models with and without…

We present a discriminative nonparametric latent feature relational model (LFRM) for link prediction to automatically infer the dimensionality of latent features. Under the generic RegBayes (regularized Bayesian inference) framework, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-08 Bei Chen , Ning Chen , Jun Zhu , Jiaming Song , Bo Zhang

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

We explore Bayesian reasoning as a means to quantify uncertainty in neural networks for question answering. Starting with a multilayer perceptron on the Iris dataset, we show how posterior inference conveys confidence in predictions. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Riccardo Di Sipio

This study presents a comprehensive framework for modelling earthquake-induced landslides (EQILs) through a channel-based analysis of landslide centroid distributions. A key innovation is the incorporation of the normalised channel…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-14 Man Ho Suen , Mark Naylor , Simon Mudd , Finn Lindgren

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

In this paper we recast the problem of missing values in the covariates of a regression model as a latent Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model in a fully Bayesian framework. Our proposed approach is based on the definition of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-24 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Michela Cameletti , Marta Blangiardo

In Bayesian inference, making deductions about a parameter of interest requires one to sample from or compute an integral against a posterior distribution. A popular method to make these computations cheaper in high-dimensional settings is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Anya Katsevich

We present a framework that enables estimation of low-dimensional sub-resolution reservoir properties directly from seismic data, without requiring the solution of a high dimensional seismic inverse problem. Our workflow is based on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-15 Anshuman Pradhan , Tapan Mukerji

Uncertainty estimation is essential for robust decision-making in the presence of ambiguous or out-of-distribution inputs. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are classical kernel-based models that offer principled uncertainty quantification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Albert Saiapin , Kim Batselier

We propose a nonparametric procedure to achieve fast inference in generative graphical models when the number of latent states is very large. The approach is based on iterative latent variable preselection, where we alternate between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-06 Jacquelyn A. Shelton , Jan Gasthaus , Zhenwen Dai , Joerg Luecke , Arthur Gretton

Estimating the geographical range of a species from sparse observations is a challenging and important geospatial prediction problem. Given a set of locations where a species has been observed, the goal is to build a model to predict…

Gaussian latent variable models are a key class of Bayesian hierarchical models with applications in many fields. Performing Bayesian inference on such models can be challenging as Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms struggle with the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-09 Charles C. Margossian , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Raj Agrawal

Large spatiotemporal datasets are a challenge for conventional Bayesian models because of the cubic computational complexity of the algorithms for obtaining the Cholesky decomposition of the covariance matrix in the multivariate normal…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-19 Luc Villandré , Jean-François Plante , Thierry Duchesne , Patrick Brown

Under the classical long-span asymptotic framework we develop a class of Generalized Laplace (GL) inference methods for the change-point dates in a linear time series regression model with multiple structural changes analyzed in, e.g., Bai…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

This work tackles the problem of uncertainty propagation in two-stage Bayesian models, with a focus on spatial applications. A two-stage modeling framework has the advantage of being more computationally efficient than a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Stephen Jun Villejo , Sara Martino , Janine Illian , William Ryan , Finn Lindgren

The linearized-Laplace approximation (LLA) has been shown to be effective and efficient in constructing Bayesian neural networks. It is theoretically compelling since it can be seen as a Gaussian process posterior with the mean function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Agustinus Kristiadi , Alexander Immer , Runa Eschenhagen , Vincent Fortuin
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