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We consider the representation of the value of an optimal stopping problem of a linear diffusion as an expected supremum of a known function. We establish an explicit integral representation of this function by utilizing the explicitly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Pekka Matomäki

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Ngo P. N. Ngoc , Tuan-Minh Nguyen

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

We present the asymptotic distribution theory for a class of increment-based estimators of the fractal dimension of a random field of the form g{X(t)}, where g:R\to R is an unknown smooth function and X(t) is a real-valued stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Grace Chan , Andrew T. A. Wood

A single joinpoint changepoint model partitions a time series into two segments, joined at the changepoint time by constraining the estimated piecewise linear regression responses to be continuous. This manuscript derives the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Xueheng Shi , Robert Lund

In this work we develop on the recently suggested concept of superstatistics [C. Beck and E.G.D. Cohen, Physica A {\bf 322}, 267 (2003)], face the problem of devising a viable way for estimating the correct statistics for a system in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Sattin

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maximum for a special assignment process with constant or i.i.d. coefficients. We show how it depends on the coefficients' distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

We define Gaussian assignment process, determine the asymptotic behavior of its maximum's expectation and suggest an explicit strategy that attains the corresponding asymptotics.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2009-12-25 Ryan Prescott Adams , Iain Murray , David J. C. MacKay

We study the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maxima and minima of random assignment process generated by a large matrix with multinomial entries. A variety of results is obtained for different sparsity regimes.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Mikhail Lifshits , Gilles Mordant

Exact formulas are derived for the probability density functions of the sum and difference of two independent non-central gamma distributed random variables, with both series and integral representations of the density presented. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

A simple expression for the non-equilibrium distribution function in ultra-fast transient processes is proposed. Postulating its dependence on temporal derivatives of the equilibrium integrals of motion, non-equilibrium analogues of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-18 K. S. Glavatskiy

In this paper, we establish the first and the second-order asymptotics of distributions of normalized maxima of independent and non-identically distributed bivariate Gaussian triangular arrays, where each vector of the $n$th row follows…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

This paper establishes the small-time asymptotic behaviors of the regular heat content and spectral heat content for general Gaussian processes in both one-dimensional and multi-dimensional settings, where the boundary of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Kei Kobayashi , Hyunchul Park

This paper studies the supremum of a chi-square process with trend over a threshold-dependent-time horizon. Under the assumption that the chi-square process is generated from a centered self-similar Gaussian process and the trend function…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Peng Liu , Lanpeng Ji

We generalize the maximum likelihood method to non-Gaussian distribution functions by means of the multivariate Edgeworth expansion. We stress the potential interest of this technique in all those cosmological problems in which the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Amendola

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar
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