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This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

This paper introduces a variable-order stable subordinator (VOSS) $S^{\alpha(t)}(t)$ with index $\alpha(t)\in(0,1)$, where $\alpha(t)$ is a right-continuous piecewise constant function. We drive the Generalized Space-Fractional Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Reetendra Singh , Aditya Maheshwari

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

This paper introduces the Non-homogeneous Generalized Skellam process (NGSP) and its fractional version NGFSP by time changing it with an independent inverse stable subordinator. We study distributional properties for NGSP and NGFSP…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

We present the conditional determinantal point process (DPP) approach to obtain new (mostly Fredholm determinantal) expressions for various eigenvalue statistics in random matrix theory. It is well-known that many (especially $\beta=2$)…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Alan Edelman , Sungwoo Jeong

The Vlasov-Fokker-Planck equation describes the evolution of the probability density of the position and velocity of particles under the influence of external confinement, interaction, friction, and stochastic force. It is well-known that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Sangmin Park

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The discrepant posterior phenomenon (DPP) is a counter-intuitive phenomenon that can frequently occur in a Bayesian analysis of multivariate parameters. It refers to the phenomenon that a parameter estimate based on a posterior is more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Yang Chen , Ruobin Gong , Min-ge Xie

We introduce and study a fractional variant of the linear birth-death process, namely, the generalized fractional linear birth-death process (GFLBDP) which is defined by taking the regularized Hilfer-Prabhakar derivative in the system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Manisha Dhillon , Pradeep Vishwakarma , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in statistical methods that exhibit robust performance under distribution changes between training and test data. While most of the related research focuses on point predictions with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Alexander Henzi , Xinwei Shen , Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann

We study a restricted class of correlator product states (CPS) for a spin-half chain in which each spin is contained in just two overlapping plaquettes. This class is also a restriction upon matrix product states (MPS) with local dimension…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-26 Vid Stojevic , Philip Crowley , Tanja Đurić , Callum Grey , Andrew Green

We derive an analytical expression of the inter-arrival time distribution for a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). This expression is exact and is applicable to any time interval, finite or infinite. As an illustration, we present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gleb Yakovlev , John B. Rundle , Robert Shcherbakov , Donald L. Turcotte

The stochastic solution to diffusion equations with polynomial coefficients is called a Pearson diffusion. If the time derivative is replaced by a distributed fractional derivative, the stochastic solution is called a fractional Pearson…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Jebessa B. Mijena , Erkan Nane

Discrete probabilistic programs (DPPs) provide a highly expressive formalism for compactly defining arbitrary finite probabilistic models. This expressivity comes at a price: DPP inference is PSPACE-hard. In this work, we show that DPP…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Benedikt Peterseim , Milan Lopuhaä-Zwakenberg

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

We review how to simulate continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) and improve the current simulation algorithms in several important special cases as well as detail how certain types of conditional simulation can be carried out.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Frédéric Lavancier , Ege Rubak

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

Statistical models and methods for determinantal point processes (DPPs) seem largely unexplored. We demonstrate that DPPs provide useful models for the description of spatial point pattern datasets where nearby points repel each other. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Frédéric Lavancier , Jesper Møller , Ege Rubak

We study a compound Poisson random field on plane and examine its various fractional variants. We derive the distributions of these random fields and in some particular cases, obtain their associated system of governing differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 P. Vishwakarma , K. K. Kataria
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