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The paper presents a step forward into the development of the theory of meaning. Stock and financial markets are examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. This study focuses on the link…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Inga Ivanova

In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Ian Dewancker , Frank Liu

Stock market returns are typically analyzed using standard regression, yet they reside on irregular domains which is a natural scenario for graph signal processing. To this end, we consider a market graph as an intuitive way to represent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Alvaro Arroyo , Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Douglas Castilho , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Soong Moon Kang , João Gama , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

Statistical physics of complex systems exploits network theory not only to model, but also to effectively extract information from many dynamical real-world systems. A pivotal case of study is given by financial systems: market prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Matteo Serafino , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

Financial markets are a typical example of complex systems where interactions between constituents lead to many remarkable features. Here, we show that a pairwise maximum entropy model (or auto-logistic model) is able to describe switches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

Network theory proved recently to be useful in the quantification of many properties of financial systems. The analysis of the structure of investment portfolios is a major application since their eventual correlation and overlap impact the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-09 Danilo Delpini , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

The purpose of this study is to estimate the correlation structure between multiple assets using financial text analysis. In recent years, as the background of elevating inflation in the global economy and monetary policy tightening by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yasuhiro Nakayama , Tomochika Sawaki , Issei Furuya , Shunsuke Tamura

Market Microstructure is the investigation of the process and protocols that govern the exchange of assets with the objective of reducing frictions that can impede the transfer. In financial markets, where there is an abundance of recorded…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 Ravi Kashyap

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

This article introduces a novel method for detecting distinctive structural changes in economic data, particularly within frequency distribution tables. The approach identifies significant shifts in the distribution of a variable over time…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Joanna Dębicka , Edyta Mazurek

Understanding the dependencies among financial assets is critical for portfolio optimization. Traditional approaches based on correlation networks often fail to capture the nonlinear and directional relationships that exist in financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Filippo Petroni

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

The econophysics approach to socio-economic systems is based on the assumption of their complexity. Such assumption inevitably lead to another assumption, namely that underlying interconnections within socio-economic systems, particularly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Paweł Fiedor

Financial contagion has been widely recognized as a fundamental risk to the financial system. Particularly potent is price-mediated contagion, wherein forced liquidations by firms depress asset prices and propagate financial stress,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Zhiyu Cao , Zihan Chen , Prerna Mishra , Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

We consider the problem of maximizing portfolio value when an agent has a subjective view on asset value which differs from the traded market price. The agent's trades will have a price impact which affect the price at which the asset is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-13 Ryan Donnelly , Matthew Lorig

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents - by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-13 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth , Michal Hnatich